# China hog inventory down 41% from last October

> China's hog inventory was down 41.4% in October from a year earlier, while sow inventory rose 0.6% from September. Rabobank estimates ASF has caused a 55% loss in China's hog herd and retail pork prices rose 78% from September to October.

- Date: 2019-12-02 · published 2019-12-02T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: disease · region China · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/55588-china-hog-inventory-down-41-from-last-october
- Commodities: [Lean Hogs](https://feedsoft.ai/c/HOGS.md), [Soybean Meal](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SBM.md)

## Why it matters

A deep herd shortfall keeps pork prices elevated and limits near-term feed demand, with herd rebuilding not expected to restore production until around 2021.

## Read by commodity

- SBM: neutral
- HOGS: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| HOGS | 2019-03-18 | [China’s hog herd down nearly 17% in February](https://feedsoft.ai/events/60090-china-s-hog-herd-down-nearly-17-in-february.md) | +11.9% | +22.8% |
| HOGS | 2018-08-31 | [Hog Traders Eye China's Swine Fever](https://feedsoft.ai/events/63549-hog-traders-eye-china-s-swine-fever.md) | +7.0% | +28.4% |
| HOGS | 2019-11-23 | [China Breeding Sow Stock Rises in October for First Time Since Swine Fever Outbreak - Caixin Global](https://feedsoft.ai/events/56058-china-breeding-sow-stock-rises-in-october-for-first-time-since-swine-fever.md) | -2.8% | +6.8% |
| HOGS | 2019-10-23 | [Genesus Global Market Report: China - October 2019
						 \| The Pig Site](https://feedsoft.ai/events/56567-genesus-global-market-report-china-october-2019-the-pig-site.md) | -2.5% | -5.2% |
| HOGS | 2019-03-28 | [African Swine Fever in China Helps Boost U.S. Hog Prices - Farm Policy News](https://feedsoft.ai/events/60239-african-swine-fever-in-china-helps-boost-u-s-hog-prices-farm-policy-news.md) | +2.1% | +12.7% |
| SBM | 2019-10-23 | [Genesus Global Market Report: China - October 2019
						 \| The Pig Site](https://feedsoft.ai/events/56567-genesus-global-market-report-china-october-2019-the-pig-site.md) | -1.3% | -1.6% |
| SBM | 2019-01-01 | [African Swine Fever in China: An Update](https://feedsoft.ai/events/60974-african-swine-fever-in-china-an-update.md) | +3.7% | +1.6% |
| SBM | 2019-07-26 | [China's duck farmers cash in as disease slashes pork output](https://feedsoft.ai/events/58086-china-s-duck-farmers-cash-in-as-disease-slashes-pork-output.md) | -3.5% | -3.4% |

## Sources

- feedstuffs.com: https://www.feedstuffs.com/livestock-and-poultry-market-news/china-hog-inventory-down-41-from-last-october

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.