# Rabobank: ASF will remain dominant animal protein issue in 2020 | 2019-12-12  | World Grain

> Rabobank says African swine fever will remain the dominant animal protein issue in 2020, with China the focal point and a possible second wave of outbreaks in northern China. Pork prices in China have surpassed record levels and more government intervention is expected.

- Date: 2019-12-12 · published 2019-12-12T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: disease · region China · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/55585-rabobank-asf-will-remain-dominant-animal-protein-issue-in-2020-2019-12-12-world
- Commodities: [Lean Hogs](https://feedsoft.ai/c/HOGS.md), [Soybean Meal](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SBM.md), [Corn](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CORN.md), [Chicken](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CHICKEN.md)

## Why it matters

Persistent ASF losses keep Chinese hog herd depressed and support feed demand recovery in 2020, while poultry gains as a substitute for pork.

## Read by commodity

- SBM: bullish ▲
- CORN: bullish ▲
- HOGS: bullish ▲
- CHICKEN: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| HOGS | 2019-08-27 | [Rabobank: ASF impacts becoming clear \| 2019-08-27  \| MEAT+POULTRY](https://feedsoft.ai/events/57474-rabobank-asf-impacts-becoming-clear-2019-08-27-meat-poultry.md) | -1.6% | -10.7% |
| HOGS | 2020-10-06 | [ASF gap in China drives global protein inflation
						 \| The Pig Site](https://feedsoft.ai/events/50592-asf-gap-in-china-drives-global-protein-inflation-the-pig-site.md) | +2.7% | -8.9% |
| HOGS | 2019-03-22 | [China's pork imports seen doubling in 2019 on swine fever impact - Grainews](https://feedsoft.ai/events/60095-china-s-pork-imports-seen-doubling-in-2019-on-swine-fever-impact-grainews.md) | +6.9% | +20.0% |
| HOGS | 2019-02-01 | [Global protein outlook includes challenges, opportunities \| 2019-02-01  \| MEAT+POULTRY](https://feedsoft.ai/events/60708-global-protein-outlook-includes-challenges-opportunities-2019-02-01-meat-poultry.md) | -1.0% | -2.6% |
| HOGS | 2020-04-22 | [ASF, COVID-19 shape 2020 pig and feed production \| Feed Strategy](https://feedsoft.ai/events/53521-asf-covid-19-shape-2020-pig-and-feed-production-feed-strategy.md) | +15.2% | +30.9% |
| SBM | 2020-10-06 | [ASF gap in China drives global protein inflation
						 \| The Pig Site](https://feedsoft.ai/events/50592-asf-gap-in-china-drives-global-protein-inflation-the-pig-site.md) | +3.8% | +9.2% |
| SBM | 2020-01-14 | [ASF drives global poultry market in 2020 \| WATTAgNet \| WATTPoultry.com](https://feedsoft.ai/events/55242-asf-drives-global-poultry-market-in-2020-wattagnet-wattpoultry-com.md) | +0.0% | -2.7% |
| SBM | 2019-11-30 | [Chicken is the top global protein thanks to ASF \| WATTAgNet \| WATTPoultry.com](https://feedsoft.ai/events/56214-chicken-is-the-top-global-protein-thanks-to-asf-wattagnet-wattpoultry-com.md) | +2.2% | +2.3% |

## Sources

- world-grain.com: https://www.world-grain.com/articles/13015-rabobank-asf-will-remain-dominant-animal-protein-issue-in-2020

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.