# Phosphate Trends 2021 & Outlook 2022: Geopolitics, Tight Supply and Soaring Crop Prices Will Be Key Market Movers – Phosphate Price

> Phosphate prices soared in 2021 after a US countervailing duty on Moroccan and Russian phosphate imports, along with transport issues and higher energy costs. US DAP rose 76% over the year to US$745/t, a 13-year high. The US trade ruling is under appeal, with a decision expected in 2022.

- Date: 2022-02-28 · published 2022-02-28T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: policy · region US · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/5515-phosphate-trends-2021-and-outlook-2022-geopolitics-tight-supply-and-soaring
- Commodities: [DAP](https://feedsoft.ai/c/DAP.md), [Phosphate Rock](https://feedsoft.ai/c/PHOSROCK.md)

## Why it matters

US trade duties restrict phosphate import supply, supporting domestic DAP prices that feed into crop input costs. The pending appeal adds uncertainty to 2022 supply and price direction.

## Read by commodity

- DAP: bullish ▲
- PHOSROCK: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| DAP | 2022-01-04 | [Global Phosphorus Fertilizer Trends and Outlook to 2022 – Phosphate Price](https://feedsoft.ai/events/43469-global-phosphorus-fertilizer-trends-and-outlook-to-2022-phosphate-price.md) | -0.5% | -4.6% |
| DAP | 2026-10-21 | [China's phosphate rock market is affected by the ban on phosphate fertilizer exports, affecting both prices and supply](https://feedsoft.ai/events/684-china-s-phosphate-rock-market-is-affected-by-the-ban-on-phosphate-fertilizer.md) | 0.0% | — |
| DAP | 2026-01-26 | [China's 2025 Phosphate Export Cuts Tighten Global Fertilizer Market and Impact Key Importers \| Tridge Insights](https://feedsoft.ai/events/20981-china-s-2025-phosphate-export-cuts-tighten-global-fertilizer-market-and-impact.md) | +0.4% | +1.3% |
| DAP | 2021-09-20 | [Phosphate market price warning coming from China](https://feedsoft.ai/events/45373-phosphate-market-price-warning-coming-from-china.md) | +0.2% | +6.0% |
| DAP | 2024-07-17 | [China agriculture group warns of tighter phosphate export rules as prices surge \| MarketScreener India](https://feedsoft.ai/events/29621-china-agriculture-group-warns-of-tighter-phosphate-export-rules-as-prices-surge.md) | -0.1% | +0.9% |

## Sources

- phosphateprice.com: https://phosphateprice.com/phosphate-trends-2021-outlook-2022-geopolitics-tight-supply-and-soaring-crop-prices-will-be-key-market-movers/

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.