# IRI – International Research Institute for Climate and Society | 2020 January Quick Look

> The IRI's January 2020 ENSO Quick Look reports that sea surface temperatures in the east-central Pacific were near borderline weak El Niño levels in mid-January, while atmospheric patterns remained mostly neutral. Most model forecasts favor borderline weak El Niño during winter, returning to neutral by early spring.

- Date: 2020-01-21 · published 2020-01-21T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: report · region Global · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/54989-iri-international-research-institute-for-climate-and-society-2020-january-quick
- Commodities: [Corn](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CORN.md), [Soybeans](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SOY.md), [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md), [Palm Oil](https://feedsoft.ai/c/PALMOIL.md)

## Why it matters

A weak El Niño tending to fade by spring implies limited threat to Southeast Asian palm and Australian crops, so it adds little price pressure to grains or oilseeds.

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| CORN | 2021-03-04 | [IRI – International Research Institute for Climate and Society \| A New Definition of Rainy Season Onset Dates In Vietnam Tailored to Agriculture](https://feedsoft.ai/events/48025-iri-international-research-institute-for-climate-and-society-a-new-definition.md) | +3.9% | +7.2% |
| CORN | 2022-12-15 | [679. November 2022 World Food Price Index　 \| Japan International Research Center for Agricultural Sciences \| JIRCAS](https://feedsoft.ai/events/38272-679-november-2022-world-food-price-index-japan-international-research-center.md) | +2.2% | +4.0% |
| CORN | 2024-01-11 | [932. December 2023 World Food Price Index \| Japan International Research Center for Agricultural Sciences \| JIRCAS](https://feedsoft.ai/events/32196-932-december-2023-world-food-price-index-japan-international-research-center.md) | -1.3% | -5.6% |
| CORN | 2025-09-08 | [1335. World Food Price Trends, August 2025 \| Japan International Research Center for Agricultural Sciences \| JIRCAS](https://feedsoft.ai/events/23025-1335-world-food-price-trends-august-2025-japan-international-research-center.md) | -0.1% | +2.7% |
| CORN | 2026-01-13 | [1415. World Food Price Trends, December 2025 \| Japan International Research Center for Agricultural Sciences \| JIRCAS](https://feedsoft.ai/events/12588-1415-world-food-price-trends-december-2025-japan-international-research-center.md) | +0.6% | +1.4% |
| SOY | 2021-03-04 | [IRI – International Research Institute for Climate and Society \| A New Definition of Rainy Season Onset Dates In Vietnam Tailored to Agriculture](https://feedsoft.ai/events/48025-iri-international-research-institute-for-climate-and-society-a-new-definition.md) | +0.1% | +1.8% |
| SOY | 2020-09-08 | [Assessing the U.S. Climate in August 2020 \| News \| National Centers for Environmental Information (NCEI)](https://feedsoft.ai/events/50963-assessing-the-u-s-climate-in-august-2020-news-national-centers-for.md) | +5.1% | +5.4% |
| SOY | 2025-11-14 | [1380. Trends in Export Restrictions on Major Crops \| Japan International Research Center for Agricultural Sciences \| JIRCAS](https://feedsoft.ai/events/21917-1380-trends-in-export-restrictions-on-major-crops-japan-international-research.md) | -0.8% | -4.9% |

## Sources

- iri.columbia.edu: https://iri.columbia.edu/our-expertise/climate/forecasts/enso/2020-january-quick-look/

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.