# Russian wheat export forecast cut on weak pace and low crop - The Sizov Report blog

> Russian customs data showed December 2019 major grain exports of 2.7 million tonnes, down 38% year on year, and July-December exports down 16.5%. The Ministry of Agriculture is drafting a 20 million tonne export quota for January to June 2020, which the author expects will not be filled.

- Date: 2020-01-29 · published 2020-01-29T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: policy · region Black Sea · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/54924-russian-wheat-export-forecast-cut-on-weak-pace-and-low-crop-the-sizov-report
- Commodities: [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md), [Barley](https://feedsoft.ai/c/BARLEY.md), [Corn](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CORN.md)

## Why it matters

A proposed export quota and weak Russian shipments point to tighter Black Sea wheat and barley export supply, supporting world prices, though the quota itself is unlikely to bind this season.

## Read by commodity

- CORN: bullish ▲
- WHEAT: bullish ▲
- BARLEY: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| WHEAT | 2021-01-27 | [Analysts weigh up wheat price expectations, following Russian export curbs](https://feedsoft.ai/events/49197-analysts-weigh-up-wheat-price-expectations-following-russian-export-curbs.md) | -10.0% | -0.5% |
| WHEAT | 2021-01-19 | [Wheat holds near 6-1/2 year peak as focus stays on Russian export tax - Markets - Business Recorder](https://feedsoft.ai/events/49175-wheat-holds-near-6-1-2-year-peak-as-focus-stays-on-russian-export-tax-markets.md) | +3.5% | +2.0% |
| WHEAT | 2021-03-16 | [Consequences of state regulation of Russian wheat exports](https://feedsoft.ai/events/47998-consequences-of-state-regulation-of-russian-wheat-exports.md) | +0.8% | -4.1% |
| WHEAT | 2025-11-15 | [With inflation at record low of 0.3%, food ministry proposes lifting of export ban on wheat products \| India News - The Times of India](https://feedsoft.ai/events/21915-with-inflation-at-record-low-of-0-3-food-ministry-proposes-lifting-of-export.md) | +1.7% | +1.3% |
| WHEAT | 2023-05-24 | [Ban on wheat exports, curbs on rice shipments to stay](https://feedsoft.ai/events/35894-ban-on-wheat-exports-curbs-on-rice-shipments-to-stay.md) | -2.4% | -2.7% |
| CORN | 2021-01-19 | [Wheat holds near 6-1/2 year peak as focus stays on Russian export tax - Markets - Business Recorder](https://feedsoft.ai/events/49175-wheat-holds-near-6-1-2-year-peak-as-focus-stays-on-russian-export-tax-markets.md) | +0.0% | +0.0% |
| CORN | 2019-12-24 | [Argentina raise taxes on corn, wheat and soybean exports \| Farm Online \| ACT](https://feedsoft.ai/events/55425-argentina-raise-taxes-on-corn-wheat-and-soybean-exports-farm-online-act.md) | -0.2% | +0.6% |
| CORN | 2019-12-16 | [Wheat leads on trade deals, export taxes, weather - Brownfield Ag News](https://feedsoft.ai/events/6295-wheat-leads-on-trade-deals-export-taxes-weather-brownfield-ag-news.md) | +4.2% | +4.8% |

## Sources

- blog.sizov.report: https://blog.sizov.report/russian-wheat-export-forecast-cut-on-weak-pace-and-low-crop/

---
Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.