# African Swine Fever Shrinks Pork Production in China, Swells Demand for Imported Pork | Economic Research Service

> African swine fever decimated China's swine herd in 2019, with inventories down over 40 percent and pork output down over 30 percent in late 2019. Chinese pork prices surged, creating export opportunities for US pork despite retaliatory tariffs.

- Date: 2020-02-03 · published 2020-02-03T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: disease · region China · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/54484-african-swine-fever-shrinks-pork-production-in-china-swells-demand-for-imported
- Commodities: [Lean Hogs](https://feedsoft.ai/c/HOGS.md), [Corn](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CORN.md), [Soybean Meal](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SBM.md)

## Why it matters

Sharply lower Chinese hog supply sustains import demand for pork and feed ingredients, supporting US hog prices and grain and meal demand.

## Read by commodity

- SBM: bullish ▲
- CORN: bullish ▲
- HOGS: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| HOGS | 2020-06-05 | [China reports African swine fever outbreak in Yunnan province](https://feedsoft.ai/events/52486-china-reports-african-swine-fever-outbreak-in-yunnan-province.md) | -5.6% | -10.7% |
| HOGS | 2018-11-09 | [China African Swine Fever: New Cases Reported Across Provinces](https://feedsoft.ai/events/61928-china-african-swine-fever-new-cases-reported-across-provinces.md) | -0.7% | -5.3% |
| HOGS | 2019-08-26 | [Poultry Prices and China’s African Swine Fever - EMERGING](https://feedsoft.ai/events/57742-poultry-prices-and-china-s-african-swine-fever-emerging.md) | -0.4% | -9.1% |
| HOGS | 2018-10-24 | [African swine fever hits Chinese pork industry in run-up to New Year \| China \| The Guardian](https://feedsoft.ai/events/62433-african-swine-fever-hits-chinese-pork-industry-in-run-up-to-new-year-china-the.md) | +3.1% | -0.5% |
| HOGS | 2020-07-10 | [China floods blamed for fresh African swine fever outbreaks](https://feedsoft.ai/events/51995-china-floods-blamed-for-fresh-african-swine-fever-outbreaks.md) | +9.3% | +9.5% |
| CORN | 2018-11-09 | [China African Swine Fever: New Cases Reported Across Provinces](https://feedsoft.ai/events/61928-china-african-swine-fever-new-cases-reported-across-provinces.md) | -6.9% | -0.6% |
| CORN | 2019-07-10 | [China’s egg prices surge as swine fever boosts demand for chickens](https://feedsoft.ai/events/58097-china-s-egg-prices-surge-as-swine-fever-boosts-demand-for-chickens.md) | +0.4% | -5.9% |
| CORN | 2019-11-22 | [Yum China, KFC hit by rising poultry prices in China amid African swine fever epidemic \| South China Morning Post](https://feedsoft.ai/events/56212-yum-china-kfc-hit-by-rising-poultry-prices-in-china-amid-african-swine-fever.md) | +0.6% | +2.0% |

## Sources

- ers.usda.gov: https://www.ers.usda.gov/amber-waves/2020/february/african-swine-fever-shrinks-pork-production-in-china-swells-demand-for-imported-pork

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.