# Dust Bowl coming in 2025? Climatologist sees trends with 1930s

> Iowa State climatologist emeritus Elwynn Taylor presented at the 2020 Iowa Power Show a cyclical climate model that projects a possible dust bowl around 2025. He cites NOAA 2019 data showing many locations in the top five for wetness and some for dryness.

- Date: 2020-02-04 · published 2020-02-04T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: weather · region US · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/54450-dust-bowl-coming-in-2025-climatologist-sees-trends-with-1930s
- Commodities: [Corn](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CORN.md), [Soybeans](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SOY.md)

## Why it matters

A forecast of future drought in the Corn Belt is a long-range risk factor, but it is speculative and has no immediate price effect.

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| CORN | 2022-02-01 | [February 2022 – Illinois State Climatologist](https://feedsoft.ai/events/13388-february-2022-illinois-state-climatologist.md) | +1.8% | +11.1% |
| CORN | 2021-11-01 | [November 2021 – Illinois State Climatologist](https://feedsoft.ai/events/13409-november-2021-illinois-state-climatologist.md) | +1.6% | +3.4% |
| CORN | 2019-11-01 | [November 2019 – Illinois State Climatologist](https://feedsoft.ai/events/55893-november-2019-illinois-state-climatologist.md) | +0.4% | +0.3% |
| CORN | 2025-08-07 | [2025/26 Corn Planting in Brazil to Start Within Weeks](https://feedsoft.ai/events/13478-2025-26-corn-planting-in-brazil-to-start-within-weeks.md) | -1.1% | +3.9% |
| CORN | 2023-02-10 | [Climatologist to Crop Insurers: Corn Yields up, But Likely to go Down](https://feedsoft.ai/events/13300-climatologist-to-crop-insurers-corn-yields-up-but-likely-to-go-down.md) | -0.6% | -6.0% |
| SOY | 2022-02-01 | [February 2022 – Illinois State Climatologist](https://feedsoft.ai/events/13388-february-2022-illinois-state-climatologist.md) | +6.1% | +14.4% |
| SOY | 2019-11-01 | [November 2019 – Illinois State Climatologist](https://feedsoft.ai/events/55893-november-2019-illinois-state-climatologist.md) | +0.9% | -4.4% |
| SOY | 2018-03-22 | [Market trends: Spike in feed cost sees rations rise - Poultry World](https://feedsoft.ai/events/66077-market-trends-spike-in-feed-cost-sees-rations-rise-poultry-world.md) | -1.1% | +0.7% |

## Sources

- agriculture.com: https://www.agriculture.com/weather/news/dust-bowl-coming-in-2025-climatologist-sees-trends-with-1930s

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.