# AgriCensus Report

> Chinese soymeal and rapeseed meal futures rallied sharply after a research paper reported a trial African swine fever vaccine, reaching multi-month highs. Researchers stressed the vaccine is far from broad rollout and remains uncertain.

- Date: 2020-03-04 · published 2020-03-04T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: disease · region China · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/54214-agricensus-report
- Commodities: [Soybean Meal](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SBM.md), [Lean Hogs](https://feedsoft.ai/c/HOGS.md), [Canola Meal](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CANMEAL.md)

## Why it matters

Hopes for ASF control could eventually rebuild the Chinese hog herd and feed demand, but the vaccine is not yet available, so the rally is largely sentiment-driven.

## Read by commodity

- SBM: bullish ▲
- HOGS: bullish ▲
- CANMEAL: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| SBM | 2018-11-09 | [China African Swine Fever: New Cases Reported Across Provinces](https://feedsoft.ai/events/61928-china-african-swine-fever-new-cases-reported-across-provinces.md) | -0.2% | +0.6% |
| SBM | 2016-12-31 | [China will rely on pork imports - prices over €3 / kg](https://feedsoft.ai/events/73455-china-will-rely-on-pork-imports-prices-over-3-kg.md) | -1.0% | +6.9% |
| SBM | 2020-03-30 | [NCP affects vegetable oil consumption and livestock production, and new changes appear in vegetable oil and meal markets - China Oil and Oilseeds Report - CnAgri-China Agriculture Consultant](https://feedsoft.ai/events/54211-ncp-affects-vegetable-oil-consumption-and-livestock-production-and-new-changes.md) | -6.2% | -11.7% |
| SBM | 2019-09-25 | [Chinese demand pushing meat prices higher \| Iowa Agribusiness Radio Network](https://feedsoft.ai/events/57213-chinese-demand-pushing-meat-prices-higher-iowa-agribusiness-radio-network.md) | +2.9% | +3.9% |
| SBM | 2026-08-26 | [El Niño disrupts marine ingredient production, IFFO reports - Feed & Additive Magazine](https://feedsoft.ai/events/17375-el-nino-disrupts-marine-ingredient-production-iffo-reports-feed-and-additive.md) | +4.1% | +7.6% |
| HOGS | 2019-08-30 | [Genesus Global Market Report: China - August 2019
						 \| The Pig Site](https://feedsoft.ai/events/57566-genesus-global-market-report-china-august-2019-the-pig-site.md) | -3.4% | -7.2% |
| HOGS | 2018-10-05 | [SE Asia report: Encouraging trends as Indo prices gain strength - Beef Central](https://feedsoft.ai/events/62488-se-asia-report-encouraging-trends-as-indo-prices-gain-strength-beef-central.md) | +1.0% | -10.3% |
| HOGS | 2019-10-23 | [Genesus Global Market Report: China - October 2019
						 \| The Pig Site](https://feedsoft.ai/events/56567-genesus-global-market-report-china-october-2019-the-pig-site.md) | -2.5% | -5.2% |

## Sources

- commodityconversations.com: https://commodityconversations.com/wordpress2/2020/03/04/agricensus-report-57/

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.