# U.S. forecaster sees 65 per cent chance of no spring El Nino, La Nina | Farmtario

> Reuters reports that the US Climate Prediction Center sees a 65% chance of neutral ENSO conditions this spring, up from 60% last month, and a 55% chance of neutral through summer 2020. El Niño emerged in 2018 and has been linked to crop damage.

- Date: 2020-03-12 · published 2020-03-12T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: weather · region US · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/54060-u-s-forecaster-sees-65-per-cent-chance-of-no-spring-el-nino-la-nina-farmtario
- Commodities: [Corn](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CORN.md), [Soybeans](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SOY.md), [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md), [Palm Oil](https://feedsoft.ai/c/PALMOIL.md)

## Why it matters

A neutral outlook lowers the risk of weather-driven crop losses in major exporting regions, so it offers limited support to grain and oilseed prices.

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| CORN | 2020-05-14 | [U.S. forecaster sees 65% chance for no El Nino, La Nina during summer](https://feedsoft.ai/events/53048-u-s-forecaster-sees-65-chance-for-no-el-nino-la-nina-during-summer.md) | -0.0% | +1.8% |
| CORN | 2024-08-08 | [Sixty-six per cent chance of La Niña weather emerging, U.S. forecaster says - AgCanada](https://feedsoft.ai/events/28679-sixty-six-per-cent-chance-of-la-nina-weather-emerging-u-s-forecaster-says.md) | -0.2% | +1.9% |
| CORN | 2024-12-12 | [US forecaster sees 59% chance of weak, brief La Nina forming by January](https://feedsoft.ai/events/26863-us-forecaster-sees-59-chance-of-weak-brief-la-nina-forming-by-january.md) | -0.0% | +5.6% |
| CORN | 2020-02-13 | [U.S. forecaster sees 60% chance of neutral weather conditions during spring](https://feedsoft.ai/events/54519-u-s-forecaster-sees-60-chance-of-neutral-weather-conditions-during-spring.md) | +1.0% | +1.3% |
| CORN | 2024-10-10 | [US forecaster sees 60% chance of La Niña weather in September-November](https://feedsoft.ai/events/27778-us-forecaster-sees-60-chance-of-la-nina-weather-in-september-november.md) | -2.6% | +0.4% |
| SOY | 2020-05-14 | [U.S. forecaster sees 65% chance for no El Nino, La Nina during summer](https://feedsoft.ai/events/53048-u-s-forecaster-sees-65-chance-for-no-el-nino-la-nina-during-summer.md) | +1.3% | +3.6% |
| SOY | 2024-08-08 | [Sixty-six per cent chance of La Niña weather emerging, U.S. forecaster says - AgCanada](https://feedsoft.ai/events/28679-sixty-six-per-cent-chance-of-la-nina-weather-emerging-u-s-forecaster-says.md) | -4.0% | -1.2% |
| SOY | 2024-12-12 | [US forecaster sees 59% chance of weak, brief La Nina forming by January](https://feedsoft.ai/events/26863-us-forecaster-sees-59-chance-of-weak-brief-la-nina-forming-by-january.md) | -4.4% | +1.8% |

## Sources

- farmtario.com: https://farmtario.com/daily/u-s-forecaster-sees-65-per-cent-chance-of-no-spring-el-nino-la-nina/

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.