# Fertilizer prices gain momentum amid strong demand and geopolitical tensions

> The World Bank's fertilizer price index is up 15% year to date, with TSP rising 43% and DAP 23% in the quarter. The article attributes the increase to strong demand, Chinese export restrictions, sanctions on Belarus and tariffs, and urea production shortfalls.

- Date: 2025-07-09 · published 2025-07-09T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: report · region Global · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/5406-fertilizer-prices-gain-momentum-amid-strong-demand-and-geopolitical-tensions
- Commodities: [Urea](https://feedsoft.ai/c/UREA.md), [TSP](https://feedsoft.ai/c/TSP.md), [DAP](https://feedsoft.ai/c/DAP.md)

## Why it matters

Sharp gains in phosphate prices, driven by Chinese export limits and trade barriers, raise procurement costs for DAP and TSP buyers. Prices are forecast to stabilize in 2026 but to stay above the 2015-19 average.

## Read by commodity

- DAP: bullish ▲
- TSP: bullish ▲
- UREA: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| UREA | 2022-09-18 | [FitchRatings: Moroccan Fertilizer Prices to Increase Amid Supply Constraints](https://feedsoft.ai/events/39898-fitchratings-moroccan-fertilizer-prices-to-increase-amid-supply-constraints.md) | -2.6% | -7.8% |
| UREA | 2026-05-14 | [Fertilizer prices surge as Strait of Hormuz disruptions tighten supplies](https://feedsoft.ai/events/19175-fertilizer-prices-surge-as-strait-of-hormuz-disruptions-tighten-supplies.md) | -1.4% | -29.2% |
| UREA | 2022-07-05 | [Impacts and Repercussions of Price Increases on the Global Fertilizer Market](https://feedsoft.ai/events/40415-impacts-and-repercussions-of-price-increases-on-the-global-fertilizer-market.md) | -0.0% | +12.8% |
| UREA | 2020-12-23 | [Fertilizer prices to rise moderately in 2021](https://feedsoft.ai/events/49583-fertilizer-prices-to-rise-moderately-in-2021.md) | +3.0% | +21.5% |
| UREA | 2026-02-02 | [Fertilizer Prices Ease to Start the Year, but Urea and Trade Risks Remain in Focus - RFD-TV](https://feedsoft.ai/events/5724-fertilizer-prices-ease-to-start-the-year-but-urea-and-trade-risks-remain-in.md) | +10.1% | +28.6% |
| DAP | 2023-11-08 | [Mosaic sees strong global fertilizer demand, restrained supply in 2024 \| Agri-Pulse Communications, Inc.](https://feedsoft.ai/events/33091-mosaic-sees-strong-global-fertilizer-demand-restrained-supply-in-2024-agri.md) | +0.9% | +3.9% |
| DAP | 2022-07-05 | [Impacts and Repercussions of Price Increases on the Global Fertilizer Market](https://feedsoft.ai/events/40415-impacts-and-repercussions-of-price-increases-on-the-global-fertilizer-market.md) | +4.0% | -0.7% |
| DAP | 2020-12-23 | [Fertilizer prices to rise moderately in 2021](https://feedsoft.ai/events/49583-fertilizer-prices-to-rise-moderately-in-2021.md) | +2.8% | +6.8% |

## Sources

- blogs.worldbank.org: https://blogs.worldbank.org/en/opendata/fertilizer-prices-gain-momentum-amid-strong-demand-and-geopoliti
- van.nongnghiepmoitruong.vn: https://van.nongnghiepmoitruong.vn/fertilizer-prices-gain-momentum-amid-strong-demand-and-geopolitical-tensions-d762818.html

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.