# Avian influenza overview November 2019– February2020

> The EFSA journal article analyses the same HPAI H5N8 outbreaks in Europe from November 2019 to February 2020, linking the virus to wild bird migration from Africa. It concludes that the risk of further westward spread is decreasing with the approaching spring migration.

- Date: 2020-03-01 · published 2020-03-01T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: disease · region Europe · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/54021-avian-influenza-overview-november-2019-february2020
- Commodities: [Lean Hogs](https://feedsoft.ai/c/HOGS.md), [Chicken](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CHICKEN.md), [Soybean Meal](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SBM.md)

## Why it matters

The assessment of declining spread risk points to limited disruption to European poultry output, so feed demand impact is small.

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| HOGS | 2019-12-01 | [Avian influenza overview August – November2019](https://feedsoft.ai/events/55483-avian-influenza-overview-august-november2019.md) | -0.4% | +8.4% |
| HOGS | 2019-12-20 | [Surveillance report: Avian influenza overview August – November 2019](https://feedsoft.ai/events/55478-surveillance-report-avian-influenza-overview-august-november-2019.md) | -1.3% | -2.5% |
| HOGS | 2020-09-01 | [Avian influenza overview May – August 2020](https://feedsoft.ai/events/51013-avian-influenza-overview-may-august-2020.md) | +9.2% | +31.0% |
| HOGS | 2024-10-21 | [Avian influenza overview June–September 2024 - PMC](https://feedsoft.ai/events/16052-avian-influenza-overview-june-september-2024-pmc.md) | +2.0% | +3.5% |
| HOGS | 2020-06-01 | [Avian influenza overview February – May 2020 -  - 2020 - EFSA Journal - Wiley Online Library](https://feedsoft.ai/events/52480-avian-influenza-overview-february-may-2020-2020-efsa-journal-wiley-online.md) | -13.2% | -19.9% |
| SBM | 2019-12-01 | [Avian influenza overview August – November2019](https://feedsoft.ai/events/55483-avian-influenza-overview-august-november2019.md) | +2.2% | +2.3% |
| SBM | 2019-12-20 | [Surveillance report: Avian influenza overview August – November 2019](https://feedsoft.ai/events/55478-surveillance-report-avian-influenza-overview-august-november-2019.md) | -1.0% | +0.2% |
| SBM | 2020-09-01 | [Avian influenza overview May – August 2020](https://feedsoft.ai/events/51013-avian-influenza-overview-may-august-2020.md) | +0.9% | +7.5% |

## Sources

- doi.org: https://doi.org/10.2903/j.efsa.2020.6096

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.