# China pork supplies under pressure in second-quarter, prices may peak around September: official

> China's agriculture ministry official Yang Zhenhai said pork supplies will be under pressure in the second quarter due to a low production base, import uncertainty and recovering consumption, with prices possibly peaking around September. Pork prices hit record highs in October 2019 after African swine fever killed millions of pigs, but have fallen since early February. The sow herd rose 2.8% and piglets 7.3% in March from the prior month.

- Date: 2020-04-21 · published 2020-04-21T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: disease · region China · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/53631-china-pork-supplies-under-pressure-in-second-quarter-prices-may-peak-around
- Commodities: [Soybean Meal](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SBM.md), [Corn](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CORN.md), [Lean Hogs](https://feedsoft.ai/c/HOGS.md)

## Why it matters

Expected tightening supply later in 2020 supports pork prices and underpins demand for feed grains and meal from importers, though recovering hog numbers cap the upside.

## Read by commodity

- SBM: bullish ▲
- CORN: bullish ▲
- HOGS: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| SBM | 2026-10-12 | [Peru cancels second anchovy season with super prime fishmeal prices in China back at record high - Undercurrent News](https://feedsoft.ai/events/514-peru-cancels-second-anchovy-season-with-super-prime-fishmeal-prices-in-china.md) | -2.5% | — |
| SBM | 2019-12-03 | [China's restaurants feel the heat as pork supplies plunge](https://feedsoft.ai/events/55716-china-s-restaurants-feel-the-heat-as-pork-supplies-plunge.md) | +1.9% | +3.0% |
| SBM | 2016-12-31 | [China will rely on pork imports - prices over €3 / kg](https://feedsoft.ai/events/73455-china-will-rely-on-pork-imports-prices-over-3-kg.md) | -1.0% | +6.9% |
| SBM | 2020-10-01 | [China's pig herd rebounds after swine fever, but pork supply will take time to recover \| Financial Post](https://feedsoft.ai/events/50641-china-s-pig-herd-rebounds-after-swine-fever-but-pork-supply-will-take-time-to.md) | +6.3% | +10.9% |
| SBM | 2026-08-19 | [Seafood Media Group - Worldnews - China Faces a New Surge in Fishmeal Prices as Peru Keeps Anchovy Fisheries Restricted](https://feedsoft.ai/events/17981-seafood-media-group-worldnews-china-faces-a-new-surge-in-fishmeal-prices-as.md) | +1.6% | +9.6% |
| CORN | 2016-12-31 | [China will rely on pork imports - prices over €3 / kg](https://feedsoft.ai/events/73455-china-will-rely-on-pork-imports-prices-over-3-kg.md) | +0.3% | +2.3% |
| CORN | 2020-10-01 | [China's pig herd rebounds after swine fever, but pork supply will take time to recover \| Financial Post](https://feedsoft.ai/events/50641-china-s-pig-herd-rebounds-after-swine-fever-but-pork-supply-will-take-time-to.md) | -0.3% | +6.4% |
| CORN | 2020-02-03 | [African Swine Fever Shrinks Pork Production in China, Swells Demand for Imported Pork \| Economic Research Service](https://feedsoft.ai/events/54484-african-swine-fever-shrinks-pork-production-in-china-swells-demand-for-imported.md) | -0.2% | -3.1% |

## Sources

- reuters.com: https://www.reuters.com/article/us-china-agriculture-pork/china-pork-supplies-under-pressure-in-second-quarter-prices-may-peak-around-september-official-idUSKBN2230LG/

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.