# The hunger forecast | Science

> A Science feature dated April 17, 2020 describes how drought forecasting models from UC Santa Barbara's Climate Hazards Center predicted a severe drought in southern Africa after ocean temperature shifts in late 2019. The models anticipated stunted maize growth in Zimbabwe by January, and the article covers the famine early-warning work behind the forecast.

- Date: 2020-04-17 · published 2020-04-17T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: weather · region Southern Africa · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/53559-the-hunger-forecast-science
- Commodities: [Corn](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CORN.md)

## Why it matters

Drought-driven maize losses in southern Africa raise regional import needs and can support global corn prices, though the impact on world supply is limited.

## Read by commodity

- CORN: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| CORN | 2020-12-14 | [The Drying U.S. West - NASA Science](https://feedsoft.ai/events/49576-the-drying-u-s-west-nasa-science.md) | +2.0% | +13.9% |
| CORN | 2023-10-30 | [El Niño Forecast to Contribute to Food Insecurity - NASA Science](https://feedsoft.ai/events/33546-el-nino-forecast-to-contribute-to-food-insecurity-nasa-science.md) | -3.3% | -6.3% |
| CORN | 2024-02-19 | [The El Niño weather pattern shapes 2024 commodity price forecast](https://feedsoft.ai/events/31589-the-el-nino-weather-pattern-shapes-2024-commodity-price-forecast.md) | -0.3% | +7.1% |
| CORN | 2020-01-28 | [Mixed Forecast for South America](https://feedsoft.ai/events/54911-mixed-forecast-for-south-america.md) | -0.8% | -2.1% |
| CORN | 2024-05-24 | [Summer Weather Outlook for Corn Belt \| The More You Grow \| Corteva Agriscience](https://feedsoft.ai/events/13184-summer-weather-outlook-for-corn-belt-the-more-you-grow-corteva-agriscience.md) | +0.6% | +1.3% |

## Sources

- science.org: https://www.science.org/doi/10.1126/science.368.6488.226

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.