# Weather models point to possible La Nina in spring - Grain Central

> Grain Central reports that forecast models point to a possible negative Indian Ocean Dipole from mid-winter and a La Niña-like state in the Pacific in late winter or spring. Current Bureau of Meteorology ENSO and IOD indicators remain neutral.

- Date: 2020-05-14 · published 2020-05-14T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: weather · region Australia · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/53051-weather-models-point-to-possible-la-nina-in-spring-grain-central
- Commodities: [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md), [Barley](https://feedsoft.ai/c/BARLEY.md)

## Why it matters

A negative IOD and possible La Niña usually bring wetter eastern and southern Australia, which tends to support crop prospects and limits upside in Australian grain export prices.

## Read by commodity

- WHEAT: bearish ▼
- BARLEY: bearish ▼

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| WHEAT | 2018-04-16 | [Weather, politics remain unpredictable as winter sowing nears - Grain Central](https://feedsoft.ai/events/65451-weather-politics-remain-unpredictable-as-winter-sowing-nears-grain-central.md) | +3.1% | +2.4% |
| WHEAT | 2019-05-29 | [Southern winter crop off to a promising start - Grain Central](https://feedsoft.ai/events/59062-southern-winter-crop-off-to-a-promising-start-grain-central.md) | +9.6% | +15.3% |
| WHEAT | 2024-04-22 | [Warm spring weather benefitted crops in most of Europe - Joint Research Centre](https://feedsoft.ai/events/30694-warm-spring-weather-benefitted-crops-in-most-of-europe-joint-research-centre.md) | +0.4% | +1.5% |
| WHEAT | 2022-05-09 | [Most growers near halfway on winter planting - Grain Central](https://feedsoft.ai/events/41372-most-growers-near-halfway-on-winter-planting-grain-central.md) | +0.2% | -0.2% |
| WHEAT | 2020-04-20 | [Wheat, barley forecasts mostly higher as seeding gathers pace - Grain Central](https://feedsoft.ai/events/53608-wheat-barley-forecasts-mostly-higher-as-seeding-gathers-pace-grain-central.md) | -2.1% | -2.3% |

## Sources

- graincentral.com: https://www.graincentral.com/weather/weather-models-point-to-possible-la-nina-in-spring/

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.