# Warming Midwest conditions may result in corn, soybean production moving north | Penn State University

> Penn State researchers used machine learning on three decades of county-level USDA yield data and weather records from 18 central US states. They project that if warming continues, the best growing conditions for corn and soybeans could shift from Iowa and Illinois to Minnesota and the Dakotas within 50 years.

- Date: 2020-05-04 · published 2020-05-04T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: weather · region US · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/52961-warming-midwest-conditions-may-result-in-corn-soybean-production-moving-north
- Commodities: [Corn](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CORN.md), [Soybeans](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SOY.md)

## Why it matters

This is a long-term shift in where supply is produced, not a near-term crop event. It has little direct effect on current prices, though it may matter for long-run land and crop-mix planning.

## Read by commodity

- SOY: neutral
- CORN: neutral

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| CORN | 2021-03-09 | [Adaptation, not irrigation recommended for Midwest corn farmers  \| MSUToday \| Michigan State University](https://feedsoft.ai/events/47957-adaptation-not-irrigation-recommended-for-midwest-corn-farmers-msutoday.md) | -10.3% | -1.3% |
| CORN | 2021-08-27 | [Potential Brazil corn and soybean production in 2021/22](https://feedsoft.ai/events/45432-potential-brazil-corn-and-soybean-production-in-2021-22.md) | -4.6% | -10.8% |
| CORN | 2024-03-04 | [ERS Research Models Future Effects of Climate Change on Corn and Soybean Yields, Production, and Exports \| Economic Research Service](https://feedsoft.ai/events/13199-ers-research-models-future-effects-of-climate-change-on-corn-and-soybean-yields.md) | +5.1% | +2.0% |
| CORN | 2026-07-30 | [CRMAgri - Latest - Global Crop Watch - Midwest rains crucial for US corn, soybean crops](https://feedsoft.ai/events/12977-crmagri-latest-global-crop-watch-midwest-rains-crucial-for-us-corn-soybean-crops.md) | -2.5% | +9.4% |
| CORN | 2026-07-31 | [Corn and soybean conditions look good on paper, but how big is the crop? - Agweek \| #1 source for agriculture news, farming, markets](https://feedsoft.ai/events/12981-corn-and-soybean-conditions-look-good-on-paper-but-how-big-is-the-crop-agweek-1.md) | -1.6% | +9.4% |
| SOY | 2021-03-09 | [Adaptation, not irrigation recommended for Midwest corn farmers  \| MSUToday \| Michigan State University](https://feedsoft.ai/events/47957-adaptation-not-irrigation-recommended-for-midwest-corn-farmers-msutoday.md) | -1.3% | -1.3% |
| SOY | 2021-08-27 | [Potential Brazil corn and soybean production in 2021/22](https://feedsoft.ai/events/45432-potential-brazil-corn-and-soybean-production-in-2021-22.md) | -6.5% | -6.0% |
| SOY | 2024-03-04 | [ERS Research Models Future Effects of Climate Change on Corn and Soybean Yields, Production, and Exports \| Economic Research Service](https://feedsoft.ai/events/13199-ers-research-models-future-effects-of-climate-change-on-corn-and-soybean-yields.md) | +2.4% | +3.7% |

## Sources

- psu.edu: https://www.psu.edu/news/research/story/warming-midwest-conditions-may-result-corn-soybean-production-moving-north

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.