# From the Persian Gulf to the granaries of Lithuania: the war in Iran threatens a price shock for food and fertiliser - Agrobitė

> Reports describe a war involving Iran and rising Gulf tensions that have disrupted shipping through the Strait of Hormuz. The strait normally carries about a third of world urea trade, and more than 1.1 million tonnes of urea are reported stranded in the Gulf. Energy prices have risen sharply, raising concerns about food and fertilizer price shocks.

- Date: 2020-06-06 · published 2020-06-06T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: geopolitics · region Persian Gulf · magnitude high
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/52545-from-the-persian-gulf-to-the-granaries-of-lithuania-the-war-in-iran-threatens-a
- Commodities: [Urea](https://feedsoft.ai/c/UREA.md), [Crude Oil (WTI)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WTI.md), [Crude Oil (Brent)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/BRENT.md)

## Why it matters

Blocked Gulf urea exports and higher energy costs tighten global nitrogen supply and raise production costs, pushing fertilizer and feed grain prices higher.

## Read by commodity

- WTI: bullish ▲
- UREA: bullish ▲
- BRENT: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| UREA | 2026-03-05 | [How the Iran war could create a ‘fertiliser shock’ – an often ignored global risk to food prices and farming](https://feedsoft.ai/events/6255-how-the-iran-war-could-create-a-fertiliser-shock-an-often-ignored-global-risk.md) | +3.0% | +20.1% |
| UREA | 2026-03-05 | [Farmers see fertiliser price surge as Iran war blocks exports, threatening losses \| Reuters](https://feedsoft.ai/events/6254-farmers-see-fertiliser-price-surge-as-iran-war-blocks-exports-threatening.md) | +3.0% | +20.1% |
| UREA | 2025-08-27 | [Gulf fertiliser prices have shot up, but the growth spurt is set to end \| AGBI](https://feedsoft.ai/events/23629-gulf-fertiliser-prices-have-shot-up-but-the-growth-spurt-is-set-to-end-agbi.md) | -7.0% | -8.8% |
| UREA | 2026-04-30 | [From surplus to strain: Iran war and El Nino threaten global rice supply - The Japan Times](https://feedsoft.ai/events/10153-from-surplus-to-strain-iran-war-and-el-nino-threaten-global-rice-supply-the.md) | -10.0% | -17.6% |
| UREA | 2026-04-01 | [The Iran war’s impacts on global fertilizer markets and food production](https://feedsoft.ai/events/19643-the-iran-war-s-impacts-on-global-fertilizer-markets-and-food-production.md) | +10.6% | +7.6% |
| WTI | 2026-03-05 | [How the Iran war could create a ‘fertiliser shock’ – an often ignored global risk to food prices and farming](https://feedsoft.ai/events/6255-how-the-iran-war-could-create-a-fertiliser-shock-an-often-ignored-global-risk.md) | +16.5% | +35.8% |
| WTI | 2026-03-05 | [Farmers see fertiliser price surge as Iran war blocks exports, threatening losses \| Reuters](https://feedsoft.ai/events/6254-farmers-see-fertiliser-price-surge-as-iran-war-blocks-exports-threatening.md) | +16.5% | +35.8% |
| WTI | 2026-02-28 | [What the Iran attack means for oil, fertilizer and ag commodities - Pro Farmer](https://feedsoft.ai/events/20635-what-the-iran-attack-means-for-oil-fertilizer-and-ag-commodities-pro-farmer.md) | +35.6% | +50.4% |

## Sources

- agrobitenews.com: https://agrobitenews.com/farm/crop-production/from-the-persian-gulf-to-the-granaries-of-lithuania-the-war-in-iran-threatens-a-price-shock-for-food-and-fertiliser

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.