# Winter climate outlook hard to predict with mixed signals | Farm Online | ACT

> Farm Online reports that the Bureau of Meteorology's May rainfall was below average across large parts of Australia after a promising start to the year. Forecasters now see mixed signals, though most models still favour a wetter winter and early spring.

- Date: 2020-06-24 · published 2020-06-24T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: weather · region Australia · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/52528-winter-climate-outlook-hard-to-predict-with-mixed-signals-farm-online-act
- Commodities: [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md), [Barley](https://feedsoft.ai/c/BARLEY.md)

## Why it matters

Dry conditions in June could limit early crop development and add to downside risk for Australian wheat and barley yields. Model forecasts for a wetter winter partly offset that risk, so price impact is modest.

## Read by commodity

- WHEAT: neutral
- BARLEY: neutral

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| WHEAT | 2019-07-16 | [2019 winter crop a mixed bag \| Farm Online \| ACT](https://feedsoft.ai/events/58038-2019-winter-crop-a-mixed-bag-farm-online-act.md) | -3.3% | -2.9% |
| WHEAT | 2018-08-22 | [WA set to carry national crop \| Farm Online \| ACT](https://feedsoft.ai/events/63500-wa-set-to-carry-national-crop-farm-online-act.md) | +1.0% | -0.6% |
| WHEAT | 2018-12-05 | [Agrometeorological applications to predict the influence of climate on crops](https://feedsoft.ai/events/61501-agrometeorological-applications-to-predict-the-influence-of-climate-on-crops.md) | -0.1% | +1.5% |
| WHEAT | 2025-10-09 | [Climate Prediction Center: ENSO Diagnostic Discussion](https://feedsoft.ai/events/22309-climate-prediction-center-enso-diagnostic-discussion.md) | +1.2% | +3.0% |
| WHEAT | 2021-03-02 | [Perspective advised on northern crop assessments \| Farm Online \| ACT](https://feedsoft.ai/events/48086-perspective-advised-on-northern-crop-assessments-farm-online-act.md) | -2.2% | -2.4% |

## Sources

- farmonline.com.au: https://www.farmonline.com.au/story/6803937/winter-climate-outlook-hard-to-predict-with-mixed-signals/

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.