# Middle East tensions add to combustible urea market - Brownfield Ag News

> StoneX fertilizer VP Josh Linville said Iran's attack on Israel added to an already tight urea market where many countries had sharply cut exports. He reported urea barge load prices were up 10% that week, with anhydrous and UAN values following. He warned that any Middle East conflict would significantly affect global fertilizer supply.

- Date: 2024-10-02 · published 2024-10-02T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: geopolitics · region Middle East · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/5244-middle-east-tensions-add-to-combustible-urea-market-brownfield-ag-news
- Commodities: [Corn](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CORN.md), [Urea](https://feedsoft.ai/c/UREA.md)

## Why it matters

The Middle East and North Africa supply about half of traded urea, so regional conflict tightens global nitrogen supply and raises input costs. Higher fertilizer prices pressure farm margins and can shift acreage away from corn.

## Read by commodity

- CORN: bullish ▲
- UREA: bullish ▲

## Linked price moves

| Commodity | Date | Window | Change % | z-score | Why linked |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| UREA | 2024-10-03 | 1 | +1.9% | 3.6 | Iran's attack on Israel on a tight urea market raised supply-disruption fears and lifted barge prices about 10% that week, a direct sentiment and supply driver of the 1 Oct-3 Oct jump. |
| UREA | 2024-10-02 | 1 | +1.9% | 3.7 | Iran's attack on Israel on Oct 1-2 added a risk premium to an already tight urea market, with barge prices reportedly up sharply, which fits the 1-day jump. |

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| CORN | 2024-10-05 | [Middle East tensions support urea price rally.](https://feedsoft.ai/events/9417-middle-east-tensions-support-urea-price-rally.md) | -1.2% | -1.9% |
| CORN | 2026-03-02 | [Urea derivatives surge on Middle East conflict \| Latest Market News](https://feedsoft.ai/events/4428-urea-derivatives-surge-on-middle-east-conflict-latest-market-news.md) | +2.0% | +5.1% |
| CORN | 2026-03-02 | [Middle East Conflict: Tension Injects Risk Premium into Global Grain Markets](https://feedsoft.ai/events/16875-middle-east-conflict-tension-injects-risk-premium-into-global-grain-markets.md) | +2.0% | +5.1% |
| CORN | 2024-10-02 | [Urea prices in the US experience price rally amid Middle East confrontations](https://feedsoft.ai/events/5243-urea-prices-in-the-us-experience-price-rally-amid-middle-east-confrontations.md) | -1.1% | -2.6% |
| CORN | 2022-03-30 | [Failing Ukrainian, Russian peace talks drive up grain futures - Brownfield Ag News](https://feedsoft.ai/events/42373-failing-ukrainian-russian-peace-talks-drive-up-grain-futures-brownfield-ag-news.md) | +5.4% | +6.9% |
| UREA | 2026-10-11 | [Brazil's potash prices fall while urea climbs on Middle East tensions \| Agro News Today](https://feedsoft.ai/events/700-brazil-s-potash-prices-fall-while-urea-climbs-on-middle-east-tensions-agro-news.md) | +2.6% | — |
| UREA | 2024-02-29 | [Middle East shipping disruptions could ignite fertilizer prices - Brownfield Ag News](https://feedsoft.ai/events/31978-middle-east-shipping-disruptions-could-ignite-fertilizer-prices-brownfield-ag.md) | +7.6% | +8.6% |
| UREA | 2024-10-05 | [Middle East tensions support urea price rally.](https://feedsoft.ai/events/9417-middle-east-tensions-support-urea-price-rally.md) | -0.1% | -4.4% |

## Sources

- brownfieldagnews.com: https://brownfieldagnews.com/news/middle-east-tensions-add-to-combustible-urea-market/

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.