# Anti-Subsidy Duty Could Push Morocco’s OCP out of US Fertilizer Market

> The US Commerce Department opened countervailing duty investigations on July 17 into phosphate fertilizer imports from Morocco and Russia after a petition by Mosaic. Morocco's OCP Group warned it could halt phosphate sales to the US if anti-subsidy penalties are imposed, and Morocco and Russia were the top DAP and MAP exporters to the US in early 2020.

- Date: 2020-07-27 · published 2020-07-27T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: trade · region US · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/52421-anti-subsidy-duty-could-push-morocco-s-ocp-out-of-us-fertilizer-market
- Commodities: [Phosphate Rock](https://feedsoft.ai/c/PHOSROCK.md), [TSP](https://feedsoft.ai/c/TSP.md), [DAP](https://feedsoft.ai/c/DAP.md)

## Why it matters

If duties are imposed on Moroccan and Russian DAP and MAP, US import supply tightens and domestic phosphate prices likely rise, while global phosphate supply could be redirected and prices elsewhere could ease.

## Read by commodity

- DAP: bullish ▲
- TSP: bullish ▲
- PHOSROCK: bullish ▲

## Linked price moves

| Commodity | Date | Window | Change % | z-score | Why linked |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| DAP | 2020-07-30 | 1 | +4.8% | 7.2 | The US countervailing duty investigation and OCP's threat to exit the US market raise the risk of lost DAP/MAP supply from the top exporters, supporting higher prices. |

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| DAP | 2021-03-11 | [Mosaic - Morocco and Russia Subject to Phosphate Fertilizer Import Duties](https://feedsoft.ai/events/48049-mosaic-morocco-and-russia-subject-to-phosphate-fertilizer-import-duties.md) | -0.6% | +1.1% |
| DAP | 2021-01-11 | [Morocco – US: Fertiliser giant OCP faces challenges in North America](https://feedsoft.ai/events/49084-morocco-us-fertiliser-giant-ocp-faces-challenges-in-north-america.md) | +1.0% | +38.4% |
| DAP | 2020-07-17 | [U.S. opens probe of phosphate fertilizer imports from Morocco, Russia](https://feedsoft.ai/events/52428-u-s-opens-probe-of-phosphate-fertilizer-imports-from-morocco-russia.md) | +1.3% | +11.1% |
| DAP | 2022-03-23 | [The Moroccan game plan to recapture the US fertilizer market \| 2022-03-22 \| Agri-Pulse Communications, Inc.](https://feedsoft.ai/events/42596-the-moroccan-game-plan-to-recapture-the-us-fertilizer-market-2022-03-22-agri.md) | -1.5% | -3.6% |
| DAP | 2020-07-17 | [U.S. Department of Commerce Initiates Countervailing Duty Investigations of Imports of Phosphate Fertilizers from Morocco and Russia](https://feedsoft.ai/events/52061-u-s-department-of-commerce-initiates-countervailing-duty-investigations-of.md) | +1.3% | +11.1% |

## Sources

- moroccoworldnews.com: https://www.moroccoworldnews.com/2020/07/67607/anti-subsidy-duty-could-push-moroccos-ocp-out-of-us-fertilizer-market/

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.