# 2023/53 “Rice Production and Food Security in Southeast Asia under Threat from El Niño” by Elyssa Ludher and Paul Teng – ISEAS – Yusof Ishak Institute

> An ISEAS report says 2023-2024 is now an official El Niño year, which typically brings drought and heat to Southeast Asia. It projects El Niño will strengthen into late 2023 and early 2024, affecting winter and spring rice crops, and expects Thailand and Vietnam to reduce 2023-24 rice output.

- Date: 2023-07-12 · published 2023-07-12T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: weather · region Southeast Asia · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/5209-2023-53-rice-production-and-food-security-in-southeast-asia-under-threat-from
- Commodities: [Rough Rice](https://feedsoft.ai/c/RICE.md)

## Why it matters

Projected production losses in major exporters and in China and India could cut global rice supply and lift prices. Food security concerns may also encourage precautionary buying.

## Read by commodity

- RICE: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| RICE | 2023-05-15 | [Rice markets in South and Southeast Asia face stresses from El Niño, export restrictions \| IFPRI](https://feedsoft.ai/events/35867-rice-markets-in-south-and-southeast-asia-face-stresses-from-el-nino-export.md) | -6.6% | +7.6% |
| RICE | 2024-01-31 | [How can El Niño cause disastrous impacts on ASEAN Plus Three’s Agricultural Production and Food Security? - Asean Plus Three Emergency Rice Reserve (APTERR)](https://feedsoft.ai/events/32048-how-can-el-nino-cause-disastrous-impacts-on-asean-plus-three-s-agricultural.md) | +2.2% | -1.3% |
| RICE | 2024-06-17 | [As El Niño Wanes, Food Security Pain Remains](https://feedsoft.ai/events/29663-as-el-nino-wanes-food-security-pain-remains.md) | +1.8% | -20.8% |
| RICE | 2023-08-07 | [El Niño: Anticipatory Action and Response Plan, August-December 2023 - Mitigating the expected impacts of El Niño-induced climate extremes on agriculture and food security - World \| ReliefWeb](https://feedsoft.ai/events/34472-el-nino-anticipatory-action-and-response-plan-august-december-2023-mitigating.md) | +0.3% | +4.4% |
| RICE | 2023-11-03 | [El Niño: Anticipatory Action and Response Plan, October 2023 - March 2024 - Mitigating the expected impacts of El Niño-induced climate extremes on agriculture and food security - World \| ReliefWeb](https://feedsoft.ai/events/33097-el-nino-anticipatory-action-and-response-plan-october-2023-march-2024.md) | +3.1% | +6.3% |

## Sources

- iseas.edu.sg: https://www.iseas.edu.sg/articles-commentaries/iseas-perspective/2023-53-rice-production-and-food-security-in-southeast-asia-under-threat-from-el-nino-by-elyssa-ludher-and-paul-teng/

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.