# Global fertiliser markets to contract | Dairy News Australia

> Rabobank's semi-annual Fertiliser Outlook says global fertilizer affordability is declining, with prices up about 15 percent between April and September 2025 and phosphates up nearly 19 percent. The bank expects weaker fertilizer demand in 2025 and a sharper downturn in 2026, with Australian farmers facing persistent input inflation.

- Date: 2025-12-04 · published 2025-12-04T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: report · region Global · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/5188-global-fertiliser-markets-to-contract-dairy-news-australia
- Commodities: [DAP](https://feedsoft.ai/c/DAP.md), [Urea](https://feedsoft.ai/c/UREA.md)

## Why it matters

Falling fertilizer demand expected in 2026 may reduce application rates and future crop output, while weaker affordability could cap grain and feed demand. Phosphate and urea prices are less affordable, which may weigh on demand over the next season.

## Read by commodity

- DAP: bearish ▼
- UREA: bearish ▼

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| DAP | 2023-04-08 | [Global Fertilizer Price Updates: March’ 2023 -](https://feedsoft.ai/events/5937-global-fertilizer-price-updates-march-2023.md) | +9.5% | -3.4% |
| DAP | 2024-09-11 | [global fertilizer demand set to see little growth \| World Fertilizer](https://feedsoft.ai/events/28223-global-fertilizer-demand-set-to-see-little-growth-world-fertilizer.md) | -0.2% | -0.5% |
| DAP | 2024-09-18 | [Fertiliser prices easing slowly – Semi-annual Global Fertiliser Outlook](https://feedsoft.ai/events/28222-fertiliser-prices-easing-slowly-semi-annual-global-fertiliser-outlook.md) | -0.2% | +0.6% |
| DAP | 2025-10-28 | [Semi-Annual Global Fertilizer Outlook - Rabobank](https://feedsoft.ai/events/22326-semi-annual-global-fertilizer-outlook-rabobank.md) | -3.9% | -6.1% |
| DAP | 2025-11-02 | [RaboResearch: Poor Affordability to Pressure Global Fertilizer Demand in 2026 - CropLife](https://feedsoft.ai/events/22291-raboresearch-poor-affordability-to-pressure-global-fertilizer-demand-in-2026.md) | +0.0% | -10.2% |
| UREA | 2021-01-05 | [Global fertiliser price outlook positive news for Australian growers - Grain Central](https://feedsoft.ai/events/11957-global-fertiliser-price-outlook-positive-news-for-australian-growers-grain.md) | +10.0% | +40.9% |
| UREA | 2024-04-29 | [AgriMarketing.com - Rabobank: Global Fertilizer Growth Expected Despite Market Challenges](https://feedsoft.ai/events/30659-agrimarketing-com-rabobank-global-fertilizer-growth-expected-despite-market.md) | -7.7% | -6.1% |
| UREA | 2022-11-30 | [Report: After Two Turbulent Years, Fertilizer Markets May Start to Settle in 2023 - AgriBusiness Global](https://feedsoft.ai/events/7855-report-after-two-turbulent-years-fertilizer-markets-may-start-to-settle-in-2023.md) | +3.8% | -0.5% |

## Sources

- dairynewsaustralia.com.au: https://www.dairynewsaustralia.com.au/news/global-fertiliser-markets-to-contract/

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.