# Weather-Hit Crop To Cut French Wheat Exports By Nearly 40%: Agritel | ESM Magazine

> Consultancy Agritel forecasts French soft wheat exports will fall nearly 40% to 13 million tonnes in 2020/21, from 20.9 million a year earlier. Its 2020 French harvest estimate is 29.22 million tonnes, down from 39.5 million. Exports to Algeria are expected to drop sharply, while Egypt is expected to buy none from France.

- Date: 2020-08-26 · published 2020-08-26T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: trade · region France · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/51570-weather-hit-crop-to-cut-french-wheat-exports-by-nearly-40-agritel-esm-magazine
- Commodities: [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md)

## Why it matters

A large cut in French export availability removes a major supplier from world wheat markets, supporting prices and redirecting demand to Russia and Ukraine.

## Read by commodity

- WHEAT: bullish ▲

## Linked price moves

| Commodity | Date | Window | Change % | z-score | Why linked |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| WHEAT | 2020-09-08 | 5 | +9.7% | 3.9 | Agritel forecasts French wheat exports down nearly 40%, reducing competing supply and supporting world prices. |

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| WHEAT | 2020-10-06 | [French wheat exports drop to low - Inside Grains & Raw Material \| Boerenbusiness. Nl](https://feedsoft.ai/events/50577-french-wheat-exports-drop-to-low-inside-grains-and-raw-material-boerenbusiness.md) | +0.6% | +0.1% |
| WHEAT | 2026-08-27 | [Small French wheat, corn crops in 2026-27 cap exports \| Latest Market News](https://feedsoft.ai/events/17840-small-french-wheat-corn-crops-in-2026-27-cap-exports-latest-market-news.md) | +4.0% | +7.1% |
| WHEAT | 2020-11-05 | [Wheat, rice contribute 50% to agri export - The Tribune](https://feedsoft.ai/events/50108-wheat-rice-contribute-50-to-agri-export-the-tribune.md) | +0.4% | -6.0% |
| WHEAT | 2025-02-13 | [Further decline in Black Sea wheat exports: Grain market daily \| AHDB](https://feedsoft.ai/events/14227-further-decline-in-black-sea-wheat-exports-grain-market-daily-ahdb.md) | +1.9% | -3.0% |
| WHEAT | 2021-11-25 | [India to export over 2 mt wheat next two months - The HinduBusinessLine](https://feedsoft.ai/events/44026-india-to-export-over-2-mt-wheat-next-two-months-the-hindubusinessline.md) | -0.8% | -3.5% |

## Sources

- esmmagazine.com: https://www.esmmagazine.com/supply-chain/weather-hit-crop-to-cut-french-wheat-exports-by-nearly-40-agritel-107268

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.
