# WMO Update: 60 percent chance of La Niña

> The WMO said there is a 60 percent chance of a weak La Niña developing between September and November 2020. It also said 2020 remains on track to be one of the warmest years on record.

- Date: 2020-08-27 · published 2020-08-27T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: weather · region Global · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/51517-wmo-update-60-percent-chance-of-la-nina
- Commodities: [Corn](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CORN.md), [Soybeans](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SOY.md), [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md)

## Why it matters

A weak La Niña raises the risk of drier conditions in South America and parts of the US and Australia, which can cut crop yields and support grain and oilseed prices.

## Read by commodity

- SOY: bullish ▲
- CORN: bullish ▲
- WHEAT: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| CORN | 2024-10-10 | [US forecaster sees 60% chance of La Niña weather in September-November](https://feedsoft.ai/events/27778-us-forecaster-sees-60-chance-of-la-nina-weather-in-september-november.md) | -2.6% | +0.4% |
| CORN | 2020-05-28 | [El Niño / La Niña Update (May 2020)](https://feedsoft.ai/events/53044-el-nino-la-nina-update-may-2020.md) | +1.0% | +1.7% |
| CORN | 2020-12-23 | [WMO steps up action on La Niña](https://feedsoft.ai/events/49572-wmo-steps-up-action-on-la-nina.md) | +4.2% | +18.2% |
| CORN | 2020-08-01 | [July 2020 ENSO update: La Niña Watch!](https://feedsoft.ai/events/52034-july-2020-enso-update-la-nina-watch.md) | -1.4% | +7.2% |
| CORN | 2026-08-26 | [El Niño/La Niña Update (August 2026)](https://feedsoft.ai/events/17828-el-nino-la-nina-update-august-2026.md) | +3.3% | +5.7% |
| SOY | 2024-10-10 | [US forecaster sees 60% chance of La Niña weather in September-November](https://feedsoft.ai/events/27778-us-forecaster-sees-60-chance-of-la-nina-weather-in-september-november.md) | -3.9% | -2.5% |
| SOY | 2020-05-28 | [El Niño / La Niña Update (May 2020)](https://feedsoft.ai/events/53044-el-nino-la-nina-update-may-2020.md) | +1.1% | +2.6% |
| SOY | 2020-12-23 | [WMO steps up action on La Niña](https://feedsoft.ai/events/49572-wmo-steps-up-action-on-la-nina.md) | +4.5% | +5.2% |

## Sources

- wmo.int: https://wmo.int/media/news/wmo-update-60-percent-chance-of-la-nina

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.