# Global grain production to fall by 69 mln tons after record harvest

> The International Grains Council forecasts 2026/27 global grain output at 2.42 billion tonnes, down 69 million tonnes (2.7%) from the record prior season, though still the second-largest harvest on record. Corn is forecast at 1.306 billion tonnes and wheat at 821 million tonnes, with world ending stocks falling 26 million tonnes to 610 million.

- Date: 2026-07-17 · published 2026-07-17T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: report · region Global · magnitude high
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/5065-global-grain-production-to-fall-by-69-mln-tons-after-record-harvest
- Commodities: [Corn](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CORN.md), [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md), [Soybeans](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SOY.md)

## Why it matters

Lower corn and wheat output alongside record consumption and tighter ending stocks points to firmer grain prices, with trade also expected to shrink by 17 million tonnes.

## Read by commodity

- SOY: bearish ▼
- CORN: bullish ▲
- WHEAT: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| CORN | 2026-02-04 | [Corn production likely to fall after record 2025](https://feedsoft.ai/events/20626-corn-production-likely-to-fall-after-record-2025.md) | +0.1% | +1.5% |
| CORN | 2016-11-11 | [Farming News - Global wheat production up - leads to new record stocks](https://feedsoft.ai/events/73799-farming-news-global-wheat-production-up-leads-to-new-record-stocks.md) | -3.6% | -0.7% |
| CORN | 2026-04-23 | [EU overall grains production forecast to decline \| World Grain](https://feedsoft.ai/events/19660-eu-overall-grains-production-forecast-to-decline-world-grain.md) | +1.7% | +2.9% |
| CORN | 2018-08-23 | [Global wheat harvest to fall for first time in six years: IGC - Grain Central](https://feedsoft.ai/events/63504-global-wheat-harvest-to-fall-for-first-time-in-six-years-igc-grain-central.md) | -1.9% | -1.8% |
| CORN | 2025-08-11 | [France raises wheat harvest forecast but expects corn production to decline](https://feedsoft.ai/events/23272-france-raises-wheat-harvest-forecast-but-expects-corn-production-to-decline.md) | -0.0% | +3.7% |
| WHEAT | 2024-02-14 | [2023 crop report: WA grain harvest falls to 14.5 million tonnes after two record years \| Countryman](https://feedsoft.ai/events/31622-2023-crop-report-wa-grain-harvest-falls-to-14-5-million-tonnes-after-two-record.md) | +0.1% | -5.0% |
| WHEAT | 2021-07-22 | [India’s grain production to reach new record highs  \| World Grain](https://feedsoft.ai/events/46030-india-s-grain-production-to-reach-new-record-highs-world-grain.md) | -1.2% | +0.8% |
| WHEAT | 2024-10-14 | [USDA adjusts global grain production forecasts \| Feed & Grain](https://feedsoft.ai/events/27918-usda-adjusts-global-grain-production-forecasts-feed-and-grain.md) | -0.9% | -1.4% |

## Sources

- ukragroconsult.com: https://ukragroconsult.com/en/news/global-grain-production-to-fall-by-69-mln-tons-after-record-harvest/

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.