# China's pig herd rebounds after swine fever, but pork supply will take time to recover | Financial Post

> China's pig herd is rebounding quickly after African swine fever, with the herd up 31% year on year in August. Pork output will recover more slowly because many new breeding females are lower-quality three-way crosses that produce smaller litters.

- Date: 2020-10-01 · published 2020-10-01T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: disease · region China · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/50641-china-s-pig-herd-rebounds-after-swine-fever-but-pork-supply-will-take-time-to
- Commodities: [Lean Hogs](https://feedsoft.ai/c/HOGS.md), [Soybean Meal](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SBM.md), [Corn](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CORN.md)

## Why it matters

Faster herd rebuilding lifts feed demand for corn and soymeal, but slow pork output recovery keeps China's import needs for feed ingredients elevated.

## Read by commodity

- SBM: bullish ▲
- CORN: bullish ▲
- HOGS: bearish ▼

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| HOGS | 2021-03-04 | [China’s pork herd recovery still a long way off – despite Govt rhetoric - Beef Central](https://feedsoft.ai/events/48103-china-s-pork-herd-recovery-still-a-long-way-off-despite-govt-rhetoric-beef.md) | +2.3% | +15.3% |
| HOGS | 2019-07-30 | [Pig Stocks Are Dwindling, Pork Prices Are Rising as China Battles Swine Fever - Caixin Global](https://feedsoft.ai/events/58085-pig-stocks-are-dwindling-pork-prices-are-rising-as-china-battles-swine-fever.md) | -2.8% | -17.2% |
| HOGS | 2018-12-04 | [African Swine Fever, Structural Changes Disrupt China's Pork Market](https://feedsoft.ai/events/61544-african-swine-fever-structural-changes-disrupt-china-s-pork-market.md) | -3.1% | +1.7% |
| HOGS | 2018-09-06 | [China's vast pig market in lockdown as African swine fever spreads](https://feedsoft.ai/events/63014-china-s-vast-pig-market-in-lockdown-as-african-swine-fever-spreads.md) | +4.9% | +30.6% |
| HOGS | 2018-09-11 | [African Swine Fever May Reduce China's Soybean Demand](https://feedsoft.ai/events/63016-african-swine-fever-may-reduce-china-s-soybean-demand.md) | +4.5% | +26.4% |
| SBM | 2020-12-15 | [China’s pig herd nears recovery, but hog prices are still volatile
						 \| The Pig Site](https://feedsoft.ai/events/49643-china-s-pig-herd-nears-recovery-but-hog-prices-are-still-volatile-the-pig-site.md) | +8.3% | +20.7% |
| SBM | 2021-03-05 | [New African swine fever variants kill millions of pigs in China, devastating herd rebuild plan](https://feedsoft.ai/events/47988-new-african-swine-fever-variants-kill-millions-of-pigs-in-china-devastating.md) | -4.1% | -3.8% |
| SBM | 2019-03-28 | [African Swine Fever in China Helps Boost U.S. Hog Prices - Farm Policy News](https://feedsoft.ai/events/60239-african-swine-fever-in-china-helps-boost-u-s-hog-prices-farm-policy-news.md) | +2.2% | +0.5% |

## Sources

- financialpost.com: https://financialpost.com/pmn/business-pmn/chinas-pig-herd-rebounds-after-swine-fever-but-pork-supply-will-take-time-to-recover

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.