# Heartburn hits fertilizer market

> The US opened an investigation into phosphate imports from Russia and Morocco after Mosaic alleged unfair subsidies, and duties could be retroactive to June 26. Gulf DAP rose $40 to $314 per ton, and US retailers raised prices above $435. Morocco and Russia supply about 85% of US DAP and MAP imports.

- Date: 2020-07-28 · published 2020-07-28T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: trade · region US · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/5058-heartburn-hits-fertilizer-market
- Commodities: [DAP](https://feedsoft.ai/c/DAP.md)

## Why it matters

Possible countervailing duties would cut import supply into the US and keep DAP prices elevated ahead of the fall application season. Higher phosphate costs feed through to the cost of mineral and feed supplements.

## Read by commodity

- DAP: bullish ▲

## Linked price moves

| Commodity | Date | Window | Change % | z-score | Why linked |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| DAP | 2020-07-30 | 1 | +4.8% | 7.2 | Reports Gulf DAP up $40 to $314/t and US retail prices above $435 as the phosphate import investigation (possibly retroactive duties) tightens expected US supply from Morocco and Russia, directly matching the DAP price jump. |
| DAP | 2020-07-31 | 1 | +4.8% | 6.8 | The US anti-subsidy probe into Russian and Moroccan phosphate imports threatens retroactive duties on about 85% of US DAP/MAP imports, tightening expected supply and pushing Gulf DAP and US retail prices sharply higher, which directly explains the DAP jump. |

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| DAP | 2020-11-24 | [Fertilizer, fuel costs low, but for how long?](https://feedsoft.ai/events/4394-fertilizer-fuel-costs-low-but-for-how-long.md) | +7.1% | +8.1% |
| DAP | 2025-11-06 | [Fertilizer Market Faces Tight Supplies, Confusing Fundamentals - RFD-TV](https://feedsoft.ai/events/22264-fertilizer-market-faces-tight-supplies-confusing-fundamentals-rfd-tv.md) | +1.1% | -11.4% |
| DAP | 2021-12-10 | [Many Dynamics At Play in the Fertilizer Market \| Red River Farm Network](https://feedsoft.ai/events/43950-many-dynamics-at-play-in-the-fertilizer-market-red-river-farm-network.md) | 0.0% | -2.5% |
| DAP | 2025-09-08 | [Fertilizer Market Core Dynamics Briefing – August to Early September 2025](https://feedsoft.ai/events/22777-fertilizer-market-core-dynamics-briefing-august-to-early-september-2025.md) | -0.3% | -3.5% |
| DAP | 2020-07-27 | [Anti-Subsidy Duty Could Push Morocco’s OCP out of US Fertilizer Market](https://feedsoft.ai/events/52421-anti-subsidy-duty-could-push-morocco-s-ocp-out-of-us-fertilizer-market.md) | +6.1% | +11.7% |

## Sources

- farmprogress.com: https://www.farmprogress.com/crop-protection/heartburn-hits-fertilizer-market

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.