# The Black Sea 20/21 round-up: Good wheat crop and exports despite a disappointing start - The Sizov Report blog

> Black Sea wheat yields were about 30% below the prior year at the start of the 2020 harvest after a dry spring. Ukrainian yields recovered toward last year's levels, but Russian yields stayed historically low. Consensus now puts Russia's crop at 82-84 MMT, and USDA raised its forecast by 5 MMT to 83 MMT.

- Date: 2020-10-19 · published 2020-10-19T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: weather · region Black Sea · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/50509-the-black-sea-20-21-round-up-good-wheat-crop-and-exports-despite-a
- Commodities: [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md)

## Why it matters

A larger-than-feared Russian crop adds export supply and weighs on wheat prices, after the early harvest scare had lifted futures.

## Read by commodity

- WHEAT: bearish ▼

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| WHEAT | 2023-05-18 | [Wheat Tour Sees Short Crop; Black Sea Grain Deal Prevents Rally](https://feedsoft.ai/events/36016-wheat-tour-sees-short-crop-black-sea-grain-deal-prevents-rally.md) | -1.2% | -6.5% |
| WHEAT | 2023-04-21 | [Wheat prices torn between strong Russian exports and struggling US crops \| Stock Journal \| SA](https://feedsoft.ai/events/36443-wheat-prices-torn-between-strong-russian-exports-and-struggling-us-crops-stock.md) | -8.6% | -9.9% |
| WHEAT | 2024-05-17 | [Forecasts of a good wheat harvest in the US and the EU continue to lower stock prices](https://feedsoft.ai/events/10908-forecasts-of-a-good-wheat-harvest-in-the-us-and-the-eu-continue-to-lower-stock.md) | +19.4% | +8.4% |
| WHEAT | 2025-06-19 | [EU wheat production set to rebound in MY 2025-26 despite dryness in key growing regions](https://feedsoft.ai/events/24139-eu-wheat-production-set-to-rebound-in-my-2025-26-despite-dryness-in-key-growing.md) | -3.0% | -5.0% |
| WHEAT | 2020-03-18 | [Australian wheat crop forecast at 21.4-27.9Mt as seeding starts - Grain Central](https://feedsoft.ai/events/54098-australian-wheat-crop-forecast-at-21-4-27-9mt-as-seeding-starts-grain-central.md) | -5.7% | -1.5% |

## Sources

- blog.sizov.report: https://blog.sizov.report/the-black-sea-20-21-round-up-good-wheat-crop-and-exports-despite-a-disappointing-start/

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.