# Fertilizer market volatility raises pricing questions | Farmtario

> Fertilizer analysts say price volatility has become the norm after supply disruptions, including Hurricane Ida, COVID-19 logistics problems and China halting phosphate and nitrogen exports. Natural gas drives about 80% of ammonium nitrate and 65% of urea production costs.

- Date: 2022-07-27 · published 2022-07-27T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: policy · region Global · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/5034-fertilizer-market-volatility-raises-pricing-questions-farmtario
- Commodities: [Urea](https://feedsoft.ai/c/UREA.md), [DAP](https://feedsoft.ai/c/DAP.md), [Natural Gas](https://feedsoft.ai/c/NATGAS.md)

## Why it matters

Export restrictions from China and gas-driven cost swings keep fertilizer supply tight and unpredictable, which raises input costs for grain and feed producers.

## Read by commodity

- DAP: bullish ▲
- UREA: bullish ▲
- NATGAS: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| UREA | 2026-01-05 | [Shake-up in EU fertilizer pricing to hit farmer costs \| Latest Market News](https://feedsoft.ai/events/20991-shake-up-in-eu-fertilizer-pricing-to-hit-farmer-costs-latest-market-news.md) | +1.7% | +14.0% |
| UREA | 2021-10-29 | [Farming News - Fertiliser Market Update](https://feedsoft.ai/events/44876-farming-news-fertiliser-market-update.md) | +7.4% | +19.2% |
| UREA | 2021-07-27 | [Runaway fertilizer prices and ITC investigation on UAN solutions raise eyebrows \| An official publication of Michigan Farm Bureau](https://feedsoft.ai/events/46375-runaway-fertilizer-prices-and-itc-investigation-on-uan-solutions-raise-eyebrows.md) | -2.1% | -2.9% |
| UREA | 2021-10-05 | [China’s fertilizer exports ban raises worries from global markets - Fastmarkets](https://feedsoft.ai/events/5907-china-s-fertilizer-exports-ban-raises-worries-from-global-markets-fastmarkets.md) | +6.2% | +11.5% |
| UREA | 2025-11-17 | [Market trend - Fertilizer middle market - beginning of](https://feedsoft.ai/events/21860-market-trend-fertilizer-middle-market-beginning-of.md) | -1.2% | -8.5% |
| DAP | 2021-12-01 | [Fertilizer pricing - Ontario Grain Farmer](https://feedsoft.ai/events/43519-fertilizer-pricing-ontario-grain-farmer.md) | -0.2% | -2.6% |
| DAP | 2025-12-30 | [China Raises Concerns in the Fertilizer Market - DatamarNews](https://feedsoft.ai/events/21834-china-raises-concerns-in-the-fertilizer-market-datamarnews.md) | 0.0% | -0.4% |
| DAP | 2021-07-27 | [Runaway fertilizer prices and ITC investigation on UAN solutions raise eyebrows \| An official publication of Michigan Farm Bureau](https://feedsoft.ai/events/46375-runaway-fertilizer-prices-and-itc-investigation-on-uan-solutions-raise-eyebrows.md) | -2.0% | -1.7% |

## Sources

- farmtario.com: https://farmtario.com/news/fertilizer-market-volatility-raises-pricing-questions/

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.