# FX Daily: Brazilian central bank’s line in the sand | ING THINK

> The ING FX note says USD/BRL is finding a line in the sand around 5.80-5.90 after a step-up in central bank FX intervention. The market expects a rate hike of 50 basis points or more at the coming meeting, and the euro held support after the ECB's front-loaded PEPP announcement.

- Date: 2021-03-12 · published 2021-03-12T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: macro · region Brazil · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/48310-fx-daily-brazilian-central-bank-s-line-in-the-sand-ing-think
- Commodities: [Brazilian Real (BRL per USD)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/USDBRL.md)

## Why it matters

Central bank intervention and rate expectations shape the real's path, which affects the dollar cost of Brazilian soy and corn exports and so feed grain pricing.

## Read by commodity

- USDBRL: neutral

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| USDBRL | 2022-09-26 | [Brazil makes first FX intervention of the year - Central Banking](https://feedsoft.ai/events/39790-brazil-makes-first-fx-intervention-of-the-year-central-banking.md) | +3.1% | +0.8% |
| USDBRL | 2024-01-29 | [One more cut from Brazil and the Selic is ‘neutral’ \| opinions \| ING THINK](https://feedsoft.ai/events/32325-one-more-cut-from-brazil-and-the-selic-is-neutral-opinions-ing-think.md) | +1.1% | +1.5% |
| USDBRL | 2019-12-11 | [FX Daily: US dollar at cruising speed \| ING THINK](https://feedsoft.ai/events/55508-fx-daily-us-dollar-at-cruising-speed-ing-think.md) | -1.8% | -1.6% |
| USDBRL | 2025-06-30 | [Brazilian economists expect central bank to cut rates in early 2026 despite hawkish signals](https://feedsoft.ai/events/24422-brazilian-economists-expect-central-bank-to-cut-rates-in-early-2026-despite.md) | -0.3% | +2.1% |
| USDBRL | 2020-06-09 | [Brazil central bank watching FX, commodities impact on inflation \| 1330 & 101.5 WHBL](https://feedsoft.ai/events/52815-brazil-central-bank-watching-fx-commodities-impact-on-inflation-1330-and-101-5.md) | +6.6% | +9.7% |

## Sources

- think.ing.com: https://think.ing.com/articles/fx-daily-brazilian-central-bank-line-in-the-sand/

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.