# Observers Watching ASF in China, Herd Size a Variable Impacting Demand for Feed and Pork | Farm Policy News | Illinois

> China reported an African swine fever outbreak on a farm in Xinjiang and carcasses were found discarded in the Yellow River. Reuters and Bloomberg reporting also notes record US and Brazilian soybean imports by China as its hog herd recovers.

- Date: 2021-03-29 · published 2021-03-29T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: disease · region China · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/48102-observers-watching-asf-in-china-herd-size-a-variable-impacting-demand-for-feed
- Commodities: [Lean Hogs](https://feedsoft.ai/c/HOGS.md), [Soybeans](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SOY.md), [Soybean Meal](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SBM.md)

## Why it matters

New outbreaks raise doubts about the pace of Chinese herd rebuilding, which weighs on feed demand, though record soybean imports continue to support soybean and meal demand.

## Read by commodity

- SBM: neutral
- SOY: neutral
- HOGS: bearish ▼

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| HOGS | 2019-01-29 | [China pig feed numbers stay strong in 2018; ASF could impact 2019](https://feedsoft.ai/events/61086-china-pig-feed-numbers-stay-strong-in-2018-asf-could-impact-2019.md) | -0.9% | -6.4% |
| HOGS | 2019-04-24 | [Impacts of African Swine Fever on China's Feed Industry and Soy Demand - Rabobank](https://feedsoft.ai/events/59584-impacts-of-african-swine-fever-on-china-s-feed-industry-and-soy-demand-rabobank.md) | -1.8% | +2.2% |
| HOGS | 2019-02-28 | [China warns of “serious” impact of swine fever, cuts meal demand 5%](https://feedsoft.ai/events/60581-china-warns-of-serious-impact-of-swine-fever-cuts-meal-demand-5.md) | +2.0% | +36.1% |
| HOGS | 2019-08-30 | [eFeedLink - China's Re-booted Poultry Sector, Version 2.0: Rising chickens, falling pigs and new eating trends](https://feedsoft.ai/events/57739-efeedlink-china-s-re-booted-poultry-sector-version-2-0-rising-chickens-falling.md) | -3.4% | -7.2% |
| HOGS | 2021-03-04 | [China’s pork herd recovery still a long way off – despite Govt rhetoric - Beef Central](https://feedsoft.ai/events/48103-china-s-pork-herd-recovery-still-a-long-way-off-despite-govt-rhetoric-beef.md) | +2.3% | +15.3% |
| SOY | 2022-03-30 | [CoBank: Bird Flu Cases Will Affect Easter Egg Supplies, Prices](https://feedsoft.ai/events/42262-cobank-bird-flu-cases-will-affect-easter-egg-supplies-prices.md) | -0.7% | +5.1% |
| SOY | 2020-02-25 | [Soybeans bounce, corn stabilizes after Monday's coronavirus crash \| Financial Post](https://feedsoft.ai/events/10640-soybeans-bounce-corn-stabilizes-after-monday-s-coronavirus-crash-financial-post.md) | +1.9% | +1.1% |
| SOY | 2025-06-10 | [AEB Addresses Egg Supply \| Prepared Foods](https://feedsoft.ai/events/24213-aeb-addresses-egg-supply-prepared-foods.md) | +1.3% | -4.1% |

## Sources

- farmpolicynews.illinois.edu: https://farmpolicynews.illinois.edu/2021/03/observers-watching-asf-in-china-herd-size-a-variable-impacting-demand-for-feed-and-pork/

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.