# Resurgence of African Swine Fever in China Threatens Global Grain Demand

> A resurgence of African swine fever in China has stalled the recovery of its hog population, according to Gro data from a survey of major hog producers. The disease is cited as a threat to soaring global feed grain demand.

- Date: 2021-03-10 · published 2021-03-10T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: disease · region China · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/48100-resurgence-of-african-swine-fever-in-china-threatens-global-grain-demand
- Commodities: [Corn](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CORN.md), [Soybeans](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SOY.md), [Soybean Meal](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SBM.md), [Lean Hogs](https://feedsoft.ai/c/HOGS.md)

## Why it matters

A slower herd rebuild reduces China's expected feed grain and meal import needs, which is bearish for corn and soybean complex prices.

## Read by commodity

- SBM: bearish ▼
- SOY: bearish ▼
- CORN: bearish ▼
- HOGS: bearish ▼

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| CORN | 2018-09-11 | [African Swine Fever May Reduce China's Soybean Demand](https://feedsoft.ai/events/63016-african-swine-fever-may-reduce-china-s-soybean-demand.md) | -1.8% | +0.2% |
| CORN | 2019-04-24 | [Impacts of African Swine Fever on China's Feed Industry and Soy Demand - Rabobank](https://feedsoft.ai/events/59584-impacts-of-african-swine-fever-on-china-s-feed-industry-and-soy-demand-rabobank.md) | -1.5% | +5.3% |
| CORN | 2019-02-01 | [Year of the Pig: Swine fever threatens China’s pork industry \| CNN](https://feedsoft.ai/events/60498-year-of-the-pig-swine-fever-threatens-china-s-pork-industry-cnn.md) | -0.3% | -0.8% |
| CORN | 2023-03-15 | [UPDATE 1-China's Pig Farms Battle New Surge in African Swine Fever](https://feedsoft.ai/events/36847-update-1-china-s-pig-farms-battle-new-surge-in-african-swine-fever.md) | -0.6% | +0.8% |
| CORN | 2021-07-12 | [African Swine Fever Persists in Parts of China - UkrAgroConsult](https://feedsoft.ai/events/45951-african-swine-fever-persists-in-parts-of-china-ukragroconsult.md) | -6.7% | -7.2% |
| SOY | 2018-09-11 | [African Swine Fever May Reduce China's Soybean Demand](https://feedsoft.ai/events/63016-african-swine-fever-may-reduce-china-s-soybean-demand.md) | -1.2% | +4.3% |
| SOY | 2019-04-24 | [Impacts of African Swine Fever on China's Feed Industry and Soy Demand - Rabobank](https://feedsoft.ai/events/59584-impacts-of-african-swine-fever-on-china-s-feed-industry-and-soy-demand-rabobank.md) | -2.4% | -4.6% |
| SOY | 2020-02-03 | [Canola oil demand rising as African swine fever reduces China's soybean crush - RealAgriculture](https://feedsoft.ai/events/54566-canola-oil-demand-rising-as-african-swine-fever-reduces-china-s-soybean-crush.md) | +1.1% | +2.1% |

## Sources

- gro-intelligence.com: https://www.gro-intelligence.com/insights/resurgence-of-african-swine-fever-in-china-threatens-global-grain-demand

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.