# COCEREAL revises 2021 EU crop forecast lower  | World Grain

> COCERAL's second 2021 forecast put the EU-27 plus UK total grain crop at 306.8 million tonnes, slightly below its prior estimate. Wheat was cut to 141.5 million tonnes, while barley stayed at 61.5 million and corn was unchanged at 63.5 million. The rapeseed forecast was trimmed to 17.7 million tonnes.

- Date: 2021-03-12 · published 2021-03-12T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: report · region EU · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/48084-cocereal-revises-2021-eu-crop-forecast-lower-world-grain
- Commodities: [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md), [Corn](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CORN.md), [Barley](https://feedsoft.ai/c/BARLEY.md), [Canola Meal](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CANMEAL.md)

## Why it matters

Lower wheat and rapeseed estimates trim expected supply, which slightly supports feed grain and oilseed meal prices. Corn and barley forecasts are unchanged, so the overall grain balance shifts only a little.

## Read by commodity

- CORN: neutral
- WHEAT: bullish ▲
- BARLEY: neutral
- CANMEAL: neutral

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| WHEAT | 2018-09-19 | [COCERAL revises E.U. crop forecast downward \| 2018-09-19  \| World Grain](https://feedsoft.ai/events/62960-coceral-revises-e-u-crop-forecast-downward-2018-09-19-world-grain.md) | +0.7% | +8.5% |
| WHEAT | 2026-03-20 | [COCEREAL gives EU grain crop a boost   \| World Grain](https://feedsoft.ai/events/20111-cocereal-gives-eu-grain-crop-a-boost-world-grain.md) | -0.1% | +1.1% |
| WHEAT | 2026-10-01 | [COCERAL lowers EU grain output forecast](https://feedsoft.ai/events/17429-coceral-lowers-eu-grain-output-forecast.md) | -3.1% | +1.1% |
| WHEAT | 2018-06-11 | [COCERAL forecasts lower E.U. crop production \| World-grain.com \| June 11, 2018 12:32 \| World Grain](https://feedsoft.ai/events/64474-coceral-forecasts-lower-e-u-crop-production-world-grain-com-june-11-2018-12-32.md) | -1.3% | -7.0% |
| WHEAT | 2023-05-18 | [IGC raises forecast for 2023/24 world corn crop](https://feedsoft.ai/events/7840-igc-raises-forecast-for-2023-24-world-corn-crop.md) | -1.2% | -6.5% |
| CORN | 2026-03-20 | [COCEREAL gives EU grain crop a boost   \| World Grain](https://feedsoft.ai/events/20111-cocereal-gives-eu-grain-crop-a-boost-world-grain.md) | -0.1% | -3.2% |
| CORN | 2018-10-25 | [Argentina corn output forecast higher, exports lower \| 2018-10-25  \| World Grain](https://feedsoft.ai/events/62385-argentina-corn-output-forecast-higher-exports-lower-2018-10-25-world-grain.md) | -1.3% | -5.3% |
| CORN | 2024-01-02 | [COCERAL unveils 2024 crop forecast \| Miller Magazine](https://feedsoft.ai/events/32063-coceral-unveils-2024-crop-forecast-miller-magazine.md) | -2.5% | -3.9% |

## Sources

- world-grain.com: https://www.world-grain.com/articles/15001-cocereal-revises-2021-eu-crop-forecast-lower

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.