# La Niña weakens, but influence likely to continue into autumn

> The Bureau of Meteorology reports the 2020-21 La Niña has passed its peak and is weakening, with ENSO expected to return to neutral during autumn. Atmospheric indicators remain at La Niña levels while subsurface waters are easing.

- Date: 2021-03-03 · published 2021-03-03T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: weather · region Australia · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/48027-la-nina-weakens-but-influence-likely-to-continue-into-autumn
- Commodities: [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md), [Barley](https://feedsoft.ai/c/BARLEY.md)

## Why it matters

A fading La Niña reduces the risk of dry conditions in Australia and parts of South America later in the year, which slightly eases supply concerns for grains and oilseeds.

## Read by commodity

- WHEAT: neutral
- BARLEY: neutral

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| WHEAT | 2024-03-04 | [El Niño weakens but impacts continue](https://feedsoft.ai/events/31121-el-nino-weakens-but-impacts-continue.md) | +7.2% | -0.4% |
| WHEAT | 2025-09-01 | [La Niña may return but temperatures are likely to be above average](https://feedsoft.ai/events/22790-la-nina-may-return-but-temperatures-are-likely-to-be-above-average.md) | -0.6% | -1.2% |
| WHEAT | 2025-12-11 | [La Niña to fade early next year, neutral Pacific conditions likely, U.S. forecasters say - AgCanada](https://feedsoft.ai/events/21415-la-nina-to-fade-early-next-year-neutral-pacific-conditions-likely-u-s.md) | -0.3% | +0.8% |
| WHEAT | 2024-06-13 | [La Nina weather 65% likely to develop in July-Sept, says US forecaster \| Reuters](https://feedsoft.ai/events/29658-la-nina-weather-65-likely-to-develop-in-july-sept-says-us-forecaster-reuters.md) | -2.1% | -3.6% |
| WHEAT | 2025-03-06 | [La Niña event is expected to be short-lived](https://feedsoft.ai/events/25499-la-nina-event-is-expected-to-be-short-lived.md) | -0.0% | +2.9% |

## Sources

- comunicaffe.com: https://www.comunicaffe.com/la-nina-weakens-but-influence-likely-to-continue-into-autumn-before-enso-returns-to-neutral/

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.
