# Waning La Niña turns winter rainfall prospects to 50:50 - Grain Central

> Australia's Bureau of Meteorology moved its ENSO outlook from La Niña to inactive as indicators returned to neutral. The winter rainfall outlook for south-eastern Australia is roughly 50:50 with no strong climate signal.

- Date: 2021-03-31 · published 2021-03-31T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: weather · region Australia · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/48026-waning-la-nina-turns-winter-rainfall-prospects-to-50-50-grain-central
- Commodities: [Barley](https://feedsoft.ai/c/BARLEY.md), [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md)

## Why it matters

A neutral outlook removes a strong driver for Australian winter crop yields, leaving barley and wheat prices to be set by short-term weather and global demand.

## Read by commodity

- WHEAT: neutral
- BARLEY: neutral

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| WHEAT | 2024-04-10 | [Winter-crop plant off to patchy start across Australia - Grain Central](https://feedsoft.ai/events/30668-winter-crop-plant-off-to-patchy-start-across-australia-grain-central.md) | -0.4% | -0.3% |
| WHEAT | 2026-03-10 | [European, Maghreb winter crops humming along - Grain Central](https://feedsoft.ai/events/20110-european-maghreb-winter-crops-humming-along-grain-central.md) | -1.3% | -1.1% |
| WHEAT | 2019-01-15 | [The winter crop that was: West trumps East in 2018 - Grain Central](https://feedsoft.ai/events/61049-the-winter-crop-that-was-west-trumps-east-in-2018-grain-central.md) | +3.3% | +2.7% |
| WHEAT | 2021-05-19 | [Australian winter crop around 70pc planted - Grain Central](https://feedsoft.ai/events/47054-australian-winter-crop-around-70pc-planted-grain-central.md) | -2.8% | +2.2% |
| WHEAT | 2020-01-09 | [Worldwide Winter Wheat Prospects](https://feedsoft.ai/events/55000-worldwide-winter-wheat-prospects.md) | +1.7% | -3.3% |

## Sources

- graincentral.com: https://www.graincentral.com/weather/waning-la-nina-turns-winter-rainfall-odds-to-5050/

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.