# Why La Niña and “Western V” Climate Conditions Continue to Appear Conducive to Poor Eastern East Africa March-to-May 2021 Rains and Crop Production – CHC Blog

> Climate researchers say La Niña conditions and a western V sea surface pattern favor poor March-to-May 2021 rains in eastern East Africa. The analysis includes water satisfaction simulations and yield statistics from analog seasons to assess potential crop impacts.

- Date: 2021-03-17 · published 2021-03-17T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: weather · region East Africa · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/48024-why-la-nina-and-western-v-climate-conditions-continue-to-appear-conducive-to
- Commodities: [Corn](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CORN.md), [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md)

## Why it matters

Poor rains in eastern Africa would hurt local crops and raise regional food import demand, a modest supportive factor for global grain and feed prices.

## Read by commodity

- CORN: bullish ▲
- WHEAT: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| CORN | 2020-03-13 | [Rainfall and other climate conditions for March - AgriFocus Africa](https://feedsoft.ai/events/54059-rainfall-and-other-climate-conditions-for-march-agrifocus-africa.md) | -4.2% | -1.9% |
| CORN | 2018-07-30 | [IRI – International Research Institute for Climate and Society \| July Climate Briefing: Models Continue to Predict El Niño in Coming Months](https://feedsoft.ai/events/63936-iri-international-research-institute-for-climate-and-society-july-climate.md) | +1.3% | -1.6% |
| CORN | 2026-09-04 | [El Niño drives crop failure in Central America and East Africa and threatens the next season in Southern Africa, East Africa, Western South America, and Southeast Asia - Joint Research Centre](https://feedsoft.ai/events/17395-el-nino-drives-crop-failure-in-central-america-and-east-africa-and-threatens.md) | +0.5% | +1.9% |
| CORN | 2020-05-26 | [IRI – International Research Institute for Climate and Society \| May Climate Briefing: ENSO-Neutral Conditions Dominate](https://feedsoft.ai/events/53045-iri-international-research-institute-for-climate-and-society-may-climate.md) | +1.3% | +3.0% |
| CORN | 2023-11-13 | [Ongoing El Nino forecast to bring dry conditions in Southern Africa, SE Asia, Central America and wet conditions in Eastern Africa - Agroportal](https://feedsoft.ai/events/33103-ongoing-el-nino-forecast-to-bring-dry-conditions-in-southern-africa-se-asia.md) | -0.5% | -1.7% |
| WHEAT | 2022-06-16 | [Dry conditions in Argentina cut crop’s size \| The Western Producer](https://feedsoft.ai/events/14028-dry-conditions-in-argentina-cut-crop-s-size-the-western-producer.md) | -2.3% | -13.8% |
| WHEAT | 2018-07-30 | [IRI – International Research Institute for Climate and Society \| July Climate Briefing: Models Continue to Predict El Niño in Coming Months](https://feedsoft.ai/events/63936-iri-international-research-institute-for-climate-and-society-july-climate.md) | -1.2% | -1.7% |
| WHEAT | 2018-07-25 | [Strategie Grains cuts EU soft wheat crop estimate to 6-year low \| The Western Producer](https://feedsoft.ai/events/63978-strategie-grains-cuts-eu-soft-wheat-crop-estimate-to-6-year-low-the-western.md) | -0.6% | -0.6% |

## Sources

- blog.chc.ucsb.edu: https://blog.chc.ucsb.edu/?p=946

---
Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.