# New African swine fever variants kill millions of pigs in China, devastating herd rebuild plan

> A second wave of African swine fever is estimated to have killed up to eight million pigs in China since the start of 2021, according to analyst Simon Quilty. He argues China's claims of herd recovery are unrealistic given piglet and hog prices that remain several times pre-outbreak levels.

- Date: 2021-03-05 · published 2021-03-05T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: disease · region China · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/47988-new-african-swine-fever-variants-kill-millions-of-pigs-in-china-devastating
- Commodities: [Lean Hogs](https://feedsoft.ai/c/HOGS.md), [Soybean Meal](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SBM.md), [Corn](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CORN.md)

## Why it matters

Weaker Chinese herd rebuilding implies sustained meat import demand, which supports global pork and protein prices and feed grain and meal demand.

## Read by commodity

- SBM: bullish ▲
- CORN: bullish ▲
- HOGS: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| HOGS | 2019-03-29 | [Hog prices rise sharply in the U.S. after new data shows toll of African swine fever on China's herd](https://feedsoft.ai/events/60241-hog-prices-rise-sharply-in-the-u-s-after-new-data-shows-toll-of-african-swine.md) | +3.0% | +12.5% |
| HOGS | 2019-02-27 | [Cases Keep Coming: African Swine Fever in Vietnam, China – American Association of Swine Veterinarians](https://feedsoft.ai/events/60496-cases-keep-coming-african-swine-fever-in-vietnam-china-american-association-of.md) | +2.6% | +33.8% |
| HOGS | 2023-03-15 | [UPDATE 1-China's Pig Farms Battle New Surge in African Swine Fever](https://feedsoft.ai/events/36847-update-1-china-s-pig-farms-battle-new-surge-in-african-swine-fever.md) | -6.0% | -11.7% |
| HOGS | 2020-06-05 | [China reports African swine fever outbreak in Yunnan province](https://feedsoft.ai/events/52486-china-reports-african-swine-fever-outbreak-in-yunnan-province.md) | -5.6% | -10.7% |
| HOGS | 2018-10-24 | [African swine fever hits Chinese pork industry in run-up to New Year \| China \| The Guardian](https://feedsoft.ai/events/62433-african-swine-fever-hits-chinese-pork-industry-in-run-up-to-new-year-china-the.md) | +3.1% | -0.5% |
| SBM | 2019-03-28 | [African Swine Fever in China Helps Boost U.S. Hog Prices - Farm Policy News](https://feedsoft.ai/events/60239-african-swine-fever-in-china-helps-boost-u-s-hog-prices-farm-policy-news.md) | +2.2% | +0.5% |
| SBM | 2018-11-09 | [China African Swine Fever: New Cases Reported Across Provinces](https://feedsoft.ai/events/61928-china-african-swine-fever-new-cases-reported-across-provinces.md) | -0.2% | +0.6% |
| SBM | 2019-10-17 | [Vietnam says African swine fever outbreak slows, urges farmers to rebuild herds](https://feedsoft.ai/events/56451-vietnam-says-african-swine-fever-outbreak-slows-urges-farmers-to-rebuild-herds.md) | +1.2% | -0.2% |

## Sources

- ukragroconsult.com: https://ukragroconsult.com/en/news/new-african-swine-fever-variants-kill-millions-of-pigs-in-china-devastating-herd-rebuild-plan/

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.