# ASF resurgence in China may slow imports of feedgrains | The Western Producer

> A new variant of African swine fever is spreading in China, prompting small and medium hog farmers to liquidate herds. StoneX estimates China's hog herd at 60 to 65 percent of pre-ASF levels. China has notified the USDA of four new outbreaks since late January.

- Date: 2021-04-22 · published 2021-04-22T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: disease · region China · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/47644-asf-resurgence-in-china-may-slow-imports-of-feedgrains-the-western-producer
- Commodities: [Soybeans](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SOY.md), [Soybean Meal](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SBM.md), [Corn](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CORN.md)

## Why it matters

Slower hog herd rebuilding reduces demand for soymeal and feed grains from China, which is bearish for soybeans, soymeal and corn. Analysts see it as a potentially major bearish factor in 2021 if the disease is not contained.

## Read by commodity

- SBM: bearish ▼
- SOY: bearish ▼
- CORN: bearish ▼

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| SOY | 2021-03-10 | [Resurgence of African Swine Fever in China Threatens Global Grain Demand](https://feedsoft.ai/events/48100-resurgence-of-african-swine-fever-in-china-threatens-global-grain-demand.md) | -1.2% | -2.3% |
| SOY | 2018-12-05 | [More and more ASF cases in China - imports of US pork](https://feedsoft.ai/events/61547-more-and-more-asf-cases-in-china-imports-of-us-pork.md) | +0.9% | -0.2% |
| SOY | 2020-03-31 | [The price of sunflower and soybean in Ukraine in the near future may be reduced](https://feedsoft.ai/events/54255-the-price-of-sunflower-and-soybean-in-ukraine-in-the-near-future-may-be-reduced.md) | -3.0% | -6.4% |
| SOY | 2018-11-01 | [Effects from African swine fever may  reduce China's soybean needs.](https://feedsoft.ai/events/62037-effects-from-african-swine-fever-may-reduce-china-s-soybean-needs.md) | +3.4% | +5.8% |
| SOY | 2022-09-05 | [China’s yuan touches 2-year low on dollar strength, COVID resurgence - Markets - Business Recorder](https://feedsoft.ai/events/12274-china-s-yuan-touches-2-year-low-on-dollar-strength-covid-resurgence-markets.md) | +2.6% | -9.0% |
| SBM | 2021-03-10 | [Resurgence of African Swine Fever in China Threatens Global Grain Demand](https://feedsoft.ai/events/48100-resurgence-of-african-swine-fever-in-china-threatens-global-grain-demand.md) | -3.0% | -2.9% |
| SBM | 2018-12-05 | [More and more ASF cases in China - imports of US pork](https://feedsoft.ai/events/61547-more-and-more-asf-cases-in-china-imports-of-us-pork.md) | -0.6% | +0.8% |
| SBM | 2021-03-16 | [ASF the dominating factor in pork market uncertainty \| Feed Strategy](https://feedsoft.ai/events/48101-asf-the-dominating-factor-in-pork-market-uncertainty-feed-strategy.md) | -2.4% | -3.2% |

## Sources

- producer.com: https://www.producer.com/markets/asf-resurgence-in-china-may-slow-imports-of-feedgrains/

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.