# ASF, grain price volatility add risk to pig production | Feed Strategy

> African swine fever has spread to 26 countries since its first detection in China in 2018 and remains the leading threat to the global pig industry. China's sow herd is estimated to be down 3% to 10% from earlier months after a resurgence in the 2020-21 winter. Grain price volatility is adding to pressure on pig production costs.

- Date: 2021-05-12 · published 2021-05-12T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: disease · region Global · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/47095-asf-grain-price-volatility-add-risk-to-pig-production-feed-strategy
- Commodities: [Lean Hogs](https://feedsoft.ai/c/HOGS.md)

## Why it matters

Continued ASF losses in China sustain import demand for pork and feed, while volatile grain costs squeeze producer margins.

## Read by commodity

- HOGS: neutral

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| HOGS | 2021-03-16 | [ASF the dominating factor in pork market uncertainty \| Feed Strategy](https://feedsoft.ai/events/48101-asf-the-dominating-factor-in-pork-market-uncertainty-feed-strategy.md) | +4.0% | +12.9% |
| HOGS | 2019-04-29 | [Disease causing price volatility in U.S.](https://feedsoft.ai/events/59725-disease-causing-price-volatility-in-u-s.md) | -1.3% | -0.1% |
| HOGS | 2017-04-12 | [Herd sizes, trade risk pig health \| American Veterinary Medical Association](https://feedsoft.ai/events/71370-herd-sizes-trade-risk-pig-health-american-veterinary-medical-association.md) | +2.5% | +8.0% |
| HOGS | 2021-01-29 | [New China African Swine Fever Strains Point to Unlicensed Vaccines \| News & Media Relations \| Colorado State University](https://feedsoft.ai/events/49031-new-china-african-swine-fever-strains-point-to-unlicensed-vaccines-news-and.md) | +1.8% | +22.1% |
| HOGS | 2020-01-21 | [China rebuilds swine herd; poultry, aqua demand grows \| Feed Strategy](https://feedsoft.ai/events/55069-china-rebuilds-swine-herd-poultry-aqua-demand-grows-feed-strategy.md) | -0.6% | -13.1% |

## Sources

- feedstrategy.com: https://www.feedstrategy.com/animal-health-veterinary/african-swine-fever/article/15442137/asf-grain-price-volatility-add-risk-to-pig-production

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.