# Farmer Fertilizer Focus - Phosphates

> StoneX's fertilizer analyst expects phosphate prices to stay firm after China told domestic producers to slow or stop exports, and China supplies about a third of global phosphate exports. Hurricane Ida removed about 300,000 tons of North American production, and Mosaic stopped selling MAP for the rest of the year while still offering DAP. Inventories are tight and countervailing duties limit imports.

- Date: 2021-10-01 · published 2021-10-01T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: policy · region US · magnitude high
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/4700-farmer-fertilizer-focus-phosphates
- Commodities: [DAP](https://feedsoft.ai/c/DAP.md), [Phosphate Rock](https://feedsoft.ai/c/PHOSROCK.md)

## Why it matters

With global export supply reduced and North American inventories low, phosphate prices are likely to stay elevated into the spring application season, raising costs for US producers.

## Read by commodity

- DAP: bullish ▲
- PHOSROCK: bullish ▲

## Linked price moves

| Commodity | Date | Window | Change % | z-score | Why linked |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| DAP | 2021-10-01 | 1 | +4.2% | 9.0 | StoneX expects firm phosphate prices because China curbs exports (about a third of global trade), Ida removed about 300k tons of output, and tight inventories plus duties limit imports, all of which support DAP. |

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| DAP | 2022-04-01 | [Farmer Fertilizer Focus - Phosphates](https://feedsoft.ai/events/5509-farmer-fertilizer-focus-phosphates.md) | -1.6% | -9.3% |
| DAP | 2024-01-29 | [February '24 Farmer Fertilizer Focus - Phosphates](https://feedsoft.ai/events/11965-february-24-farmer-fertilizer-focus-phosphates.md) | -1.7% | -1.3% |
| DAP | 2024-02-01 | [January '24 Farmer Fertilizer Focus - Phosphates](https://feedsoft.ai/events/11962-january-24-farmer-fertilizer-focus-phosphates.md) | 0.0% | +0.4% |
| DAP | 2025-04-04 | [April '25 Aussie Farmer Fertilizer Focus - Phosphate](https://feedsoft.ai/events/25438-april-25-aussie-farmer-fertilizer-focus-phosphate.md) | 0.0% | +2.3% |
| DAP | 2023-12-29 | [January '24 Aussie Farmer Fertilizer Focus - Phosphate](https://feedsoft.ai/events/33051-january-24-aussie-farmer-fertilizer-focus-phosphate.md) | +0.4% | +2.6% |

## Sources

- stonex.com: https://www.stonex.com/en-us/insights/farmer-fertilizer-focus-phosphates-2021-10-01/

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.