# Agri podcast: La Niña weakened over February and March | OFM

> South African observers report that La Niña weakened rapidly in February and March, and the May-June rainfall outlook is weaker than expected. The CEC raised its 2020/21 South African maize estimate to 16.1 million tonnes and soybean estimate to 1.8 million tonnes.

- Date: 2021-05-07 · published 2021-05-07T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: weather · region South Africa · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/46987-agri-podcast-la-nina-weakened-over-february-and-march-ofm
- Commodities: [Corn](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CORN.md), [Soybeans](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SOY.md)

## Why it matters

A higher South African maize crop adds modestly to regional supply and eases import needs, which is mildly bearish for corn. The effect on global prices is limited given South Africa's small share of world trade.

## Read by commodity

- SOY: neutral
- CORN: bearish ▼

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| CORN | 2022-03-01 | [El Niño / La Niña Update - February 2022](https://feedsoft.ai/events/42192-el-nino-la-nina-update-february-2022.md) | +4.7% | +12.1% |
| CORN | 2024-08-08 | [Sixty-six per cent chance of La Niña weather emerging, U.S. forecaster says - AgCanada](https://feedsoft.ai/events/28679-sixty-six-per-cent-chance-of-la-nina-weather-emerging-u-s-forecaster-says.md) | -0.2% | +1.9% |
| CORN | 2026-01-08 | [2026 Weather Outlook: La Niña’s Quick Exit, El Niño’s Potential and the Signals Farmers Should Watch - AgWeb](https://feedsoft.ai/events/20956-2026-weather-outlook-la-nina-s-quick-exit-el-nino-s-potential-and-the-signals.md) | -3.4% | -2.0% |
| CORN | 2025-04-29 | [The end of La Niña: Lessons about Plains wheat drought & why spring weather is bearish for most grain markets - The Globe and Mail](https://feedsoft.ai/events/25030-the-end-of-la-nina-lessons-about-plains-wheat-drought-and-why-spring-weather-is.md) | -3.7% | -1.3% |
| CORN | 2025-08-27 | [La Nada, No Problem: Weather Outlook for 2025 Harvest and Beyond - Farmer Mac](https://feedsoft.ai/events/23244-la-nada-no-problem-weather-outlook-for-2025-harvest-and-beyond-farmer-mac.md) | +3.6% | +8.1% |
| SOY | 2024-08-27 | [Harvest Weather Hinges on Start of La Niña \| The More You Grow \| Corteva Agriscience](https://feedsoft.ai/events/13164-harvest-weather-hinges-on-start-of-la-nina-the-more-you-grow-corteva-agriscience.md) | +3.9% | +8.6% |
| SOY | 2025-12-03 | [WMO Update predicts weak La Niña](https://feedsoft.ai/events/21414-wmo-update-predicts-weak-la-nina.md) | -3.3% | -8.4% |
| SOY | 2024-12-12 | [US forecaster sees 59% chance of weak, brief La Nina forming by January](https://feedsoft.ai/events/26863-us-forecaster-sees-59-chance-of-weak-brief-la-nina-forming-by-january.md) | -4.4% | +1.8% |

## Sources

- ofm.co.za: https://www.ofm.co.za/article/news/304078/agri-podcast-la-ni%C3%B1a-weakened-over-february-and-march

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.