# China halts phosphate exports: Fertilizer prices ‘out of whack right now’ | An official publication of Michigan Farm Bureau

> China is banning phosphate exports through 2022, according to Michigan Farm News. Urea, DAP, MAP and potash averaged $572, $702, $776 and $598 per ton, all up 59% or more from 2020. An industry agronomist said the move would hit growers and noted that China last cut supply this sharply in 2008.

- Date: 2021-09-28 · published 2021-09-28T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: policy · region China · magnitude high
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/4696-china-halts-phosphate-exports-fertilizer-prices-out-of-whack-right-now-an
- Commodities: [Phosphate Rock](https://feedsoft.ai/c/PHOSROCK.md), [DAP](https://feedsoft.ai/c/DAP.md)

## Why it matters

China is the top phosphate exporter, so a ban tightens global DAP and MAP supply and pushes fertilizer costs up for feed grain producers.

## Read by commodity

- DAP: bullish ▲
- PHOSROCK: bullish ▲

## Linked price moves

| Commodity | Date | Window | Change % | z-score | Why linked |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| DAP | 2021-09-30 | 1 | +4.2% | 9.1 | Report on 28 Sep that China is halting phosphate exports through 2022 is a direct supply shock to the largest exporter, which would push DAP prices up just before the 30 Sep move. |
| DAP | 2021-10-01 | 1 | +4.2% | 9.0 | The reported China phosphate export ban through 2022 and already elevated DAP prices likely fed the market's repricing a few days before the move, so it is a contributing but earlier catalyst. |

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| DAP | 2023-12-12 | [Tariffs, trade and China: Inside the fight over phosphate \| An official publication of Michigan Farm Bureau](https://feedsoft.ai/events/33029-tariffs-trade-and-china-inside-the-fight-over-phosphate-an-official-publication.md) | +0.9% | +3.9% |
| DAP | 2021-07-27 | [Runaway fertilizer prices and ITC investigation on UAN solutions raise eyebrows \| An official publication of Michigan Farm Bureau](https://feedsoft.ai/events/46375-runaway-fertilizer-prices-and-itc-investigation-on-uan-solutions-raise-eyebrows.md) | -2.0% | -1.7% |
| DAP | 2026-10-21 | [China's phosphate rock market is affected by the ban on phosphate fertilizer exports, affecting both prices and supply](https://feedsoft.ai/events/684-china-s-phosphate-rock-market-is-affected-by-the-ban-on-phosphate-fertilizer.md) | 0.0% | — |
| DAP | 2026-01-06 | [Phosphate fertilizer prices expected to stay high in 2026 as China export limits persist - Brownfield Ag News](https://feedsoft.ai/events/20977-phosphate-fertilizer-prices-expected-to-stay-high-in-2026-as-china-export.md) | 0.0% | -0.4% |
| DAP | 2025-10-13 | [Fertilizer prices rise amid China export limits](https://feedsoft.ai/events/22327-fertilizer-prices-rise-amid-china-export-limits.md) | -0.2% | -4.7% |

## Sources

- michfb.com: https://www.michfb.com/about/news-media/china-halts-phosphate-exports
- michiganfarmnews.com: https://www.michiganfarmnews.com/china-halts-phosphate-exports-fertilizer-prices-out-of-whack-right-now-

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.