# The latest #ElNiño/Southern Oscillation (#ENSO) Diagnostic Discussion is hot off the presses from the #Climate Prediction Center – Coyote Gulch

> The NOAA Climate Prediction Center's June ENSO Diagnostic Discussion reports ENSO-neutral conditions, with a 78% chance of neutral in June-August and 50% in September-November. La Niña chances rise to near 50% by late fall and winter.

- Date: 2021-06-13 · published 2021-06-13T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: weather · region Global · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/46483-the-latest-elnino-southern-oscillation-enso-diagnostic-discussion-is-hot-off
- Commodities: [Soybeans](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SOY.md), [Corn](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CORN.md), [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md)

## Why it matters

Growing odds of a second-year La Niña point to a higher risk of drought for South American and US crops in 2021/22, which tends to support grain and oilseed prices.

## Read by commodity

- SOY: bullish ▲
- CORN: bullish ▲
- WHEAT: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| SOY | 2025-10-09 | [Climate Prediction Center: ENSO Diagnostic Discussion](https://feedsoft.ai/events/22309-climate-prediction-center-enso-diagnostic-discussion.md) | -2.2% | +8.8% |
| SOY | 2021-10-14 | [Climate Prediction Center: ENSO Diagnostic Discussion](https://feedsoft.ai/events/44466-climate-prediction-center-enso-diagnostic-discussion.md) | +4.2% | +0.7% |
| SOY | 2022-07-14 | [Climate Prediction Center: ENSO Diagnostic Discussion](https://feedsoft.ai/events/40387-climate-prediction-center-enso-diagnostic-discussion.md) | -8.8% | +6.3% |
| SOY | 2018-07-27 | [Does the El Niño Southern Oscillation Actually Matter for Food Security? – State of the Planet](https://feedsoft.ai/events/63941-does-the-el-nino-southern-oscillation-actually-matter-for-food-security-state.md) | +2.5% | -2.2% |
| SOY | 2017-12-01 | [Iowa State Climatologist Discusses La Nina and Crop Production at Peoria Farm Show this week \| WMIX](https://feedsoft.ai/events/67404-iowa-state-climatologist-discusses-la-nina-and-crop-production-at-peoria-farm.md) | +0.6% | -3.4% |
| CORN | 2022-07-14 | [Climate Prediction Center: ENSO Diagnostic Discussion](https://feedsoft.ai/events/40387-climate-prediction-center-enso-diagnostic-discussion.md) | -12.5% | -12.4% |
| CORN | 2025-10-09 | [Climate Prediction Center: ENSO Diagnostic Discussion](https://feedsoft.ai/events/22309-climate-prediction-center-enso-diagnostic-discussion.md) | -0.9% | +0.9% |
| CORN | 2021-10-14 | [Climate Prediction Center: ENSO Diagnostic Discussion](https://feedsoft.ai/events/44466-climate-prediction-center-enso-diagnostic-discussion.md) | +3.2% | +13.8% |

## Sources

- coyotegulch.blog: https://coyotegulch.blog/2021/06/13/the-latest-elnino-southern-oscillation-enso-diagnostic-discussion-is-hot-off-the-presses-from-the-climate-prediction-center/

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.