# Black Sea Wheat Exports To Grow 5% In 2021/22 | ESM Magazine

> A Reuters poll of 21 analysts forecasts Russia, Ukraine and Kazakhstan will raise wheat exports 5% to 66 million tonnes in 2021/22, starting 1 July. The combined 2021 wheat crop is seen falling 1% to 124 million tonnes. Russia's floating export tax, changed weekly, is cited as the main challenge for traders.

- Date: 2021-06-16 · published 2021-06-16T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: trade · region Black Sea · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/46432-black-sea-wheat-exports-to-grow-5-in-2021-22-esm-magazine
- Commodities: [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md), [Corn](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CORN.md)

## Why it matters

Larger Black Sea export supply adds competition for buyers and tends to pressure wheat export prices. Strong feed wheat demand, as buyers substitute away from expensive corn, partly offsets that pressure.

## Read by commodity

- CORN: bullish ▲
- WHEAT: bearish ▼

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| WHEAT | 2025-09-23 | [Russia’s wheat exports from Black Sea ports fall to 460kt](https://feedsoft.ai/events/14174-russia-s-wheat-exports-from-black-sea-ports-fall-to-460kt.md) | -0.2% | +1.8% |
| WHEAT | 2019-08-29 | [Big Harvest Means France Needs To Export 20m Tonnes Of Wheat In 2019/20: Agritel \| ESM Magazine](https://feedsoft.ai/events/57527-big-harvest-means-france-needs-to-export-20m-tonnes-of-wheat-in-2019-20-agritel.md) | -3.2% | +0.5% |
| WHEAT | 2025-07-16 | [Black Sea Exports – News – SSY](https://feedsoft.ai/events/14188-black-sea-exports-news-ssy.md) | +1.6% | -1.2% |
| WHEAT | 2016-11-21 | [Black Sea exports a burgeoning threat \| World-grain.com \| November 21, 2016 15:25 \| World Grain](https://feedsoft.ai/events/73782-black-sea-exports-a-burgeoning-threat-world-grain-com-november-21-2016-15-25.md) | -4.7% | -1.5% |
| WHEAT | 2023-01-31 | [Ukraine’s wheat and corn exports recover under Black Sea Grain Initiative \| Economic Research Service](https://feedsoft.ai/events/14421-ukraine-s-wheat-and-corn-exports-recover-under-black-sea-grain-initiative.md) | +2.2% | -4.4% |
| CORN | 2026-03-01 | [Will Ukraine be able to export all of its grain in 2026?](https://feedsoft.ai/events/14133-will-ukraine-be-able-to-export-all-of-its-grain-in-2026.md) | +2.0% | +5.1% |
| CORN | 2021-01-20 | [Ukrainian seaports cut grain export by more than 6 mln tonnes in 2020](https://feedsoft.ai/events/48981-ukrainian-seaports-cut-grain-export-by-more-than-6-mln-tonnes-in-2020.md) | +3.1% | +2.1% |
| CORN | 2021-01-06 | [Ukraine grain exports down at 26.4mn tonne so far in 2020/21 - Markets - Business Recorder](https://feedsoft.ai/events/48984-ukraine-grain-exports-down-at-26-4mn-tonne-so-far-in-2020-21-markets-business.md) | +5.2% | +12.7% |

## Sources

- esmmagazine.com: https://www.esmmagazine.com/supply-chain/black-sea-wheat-exports-grow-5-202122-136681

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.