# Grain Journal | Stu Ellis: Oat Production at Historic Lows; Genetics…

> USDA's July WASDE projected US oat production at only 41 million bushels, the lowest in its 155-year record. Canadian oat output has fallen about 15 percent due to drought, and reduced oat acreage in the US is partly due to competition from corn.

- Date: 2021-07-22 · published 2021-07-22T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: report · region US · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/46116-grain-journal-stu-ellis-oat-production-at-historic-lows-genetics
- Commodities: [Oats](https://feedsoft.ai/c/OATS.md), [Corn](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CORN.md)

## Why it matters

Historically low oat output tightens feed and milling supplies, supporting higher prices for oat buyers.

## Read by commodity

- CORN: neutral
- OATS: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| OATS | 2023-08-29 | [Canada Know-Risk Market Outlook \| Stats Canada Lowers Wheat, Canola, Barley & Oats Production](https://feedsoft.ai/events/34644-canada-know-risk-market-outlook-stats-canada-lowers-wheat-canola-barley-and.md) | -3.7% | -10.3% |
| OATS | 2021-12-06 | [Canada`s Oat Production Down 43 Per Cent In 2021 \| Farms.com](https://feedsoft.ai/events/43657-canada-s-oat-production-down-43-per-cent-in-2021-farms-com.md) | -1.0% | -6.1% |
| OATS | 2021-12-03 | [StatsCan Canola, Wheat Production Numbers Drop](https://feedsoft.ai/events/43660-statscan-canola-wheat-production-numbers-drop.md) | -2.9% | -7.8% |
| OATS | 2021-02-02 | [Oat prices running out of upside - Grainews](https://feedsoft.ai/events/48679-oat-prices-running-out-of-upside-grainews.md) | +2.2% | +7.8% |
| OATS | 2026-07-22 | [Oat price upheaval unlikely, despite tightening supply in 2026-27 - Grainews](https://feedsoft.ai/events/18396-oat-price-upheaval-unlikely-despite-tightening-supply-in-2026-27-grainews.md) | -5.9% | -0.5% |
| CORN | 2021-12-28 | [Arkansas pumps up corn, grain sorghum and winter wheat production - High Plains Journal](https://feedsoft.ai/events/43681-arkansas-pumps-up-corn-grain-sorghum-and-winter-wheat-production-high-plains.md) | -0.2% | +2.9% |
| CORN | 2018-03-05 | [Higher protein production forecast pressures prices for livestock producers \| Western Livestock Journal](https://feedsoft.ai/events/65941-higher-protein-production-forecast-pressures-prices-for-livestock-producers.md) | +1.0% | +5.4% |
| CORN | 2024-03-22 | [Mexico’s corn production on rise \| World Grain](https://feedsoft.ai/events/31183-mexico-s-corn-production-on-rise-world-grain.md) | -1.2% | -6.5% |

## Sources

- grainjournal.com: https://www.grainjournal.com/article/241468/stu-ellis-oat-production-at-historic-lows-genetics-may-unlock-higher-yields

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.