# ENSO as a climate conductor for global crop yields | NOAA Climate.gov

> NOAA Climate.gov guest post by Weston Anderson argues that climate scientists have underused existing knowledge of ENSO to monitor and predict global crop yield surpluses and deficits. The post follows NOAA's La Niña Watch issued a few weeks earlier for a possible fall 2021 La Niña persisting into winter 2021-22.

- Date: 2021-07-22 · published 2021-07-22T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: weather · region Global · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/45979-enso-as-a-climate-conductor-for-global-crop-yields-noaa-climate-gov
- Commodities: [Corn](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CORN.md), [Soybeans](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SOY.md), [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md)

## Why it matters

A possible La Niña through Northern Hemisphere winter 2021-22 raises the risk of yield shortfalls in several key exporting regions, which could support grain and oilseed prices if the signal is confirmed. The article itself is a general analysis with no immediate supply shock.

## Read by commodity

- SOY: neutral
- CORN: neutral
- WHEAT: neutral

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| CORN | 2018-07-27 | [Look South, ENSO Forecasters! \| NOAA Climate.gov](https://feedsoft.ai/events/63937-look-south-enso-forecasters-noaa-climate-gov.md) | +0.9% | -1.9% |
| CORN | 2019-12-12 | [December 2019 ENSO update: neutral, rinse, repeat \| NOAA Climate.gov](https://feedsoft.ai/events/55496-december-2019-enso-update-neutral-rinse-repeat-noaa-climate-gov.md) | +5.5% | +5.7% |
| CORN | 2018-04-03 | [Study: Climate effects on ag yields vary by location, crop](https://feedsoft.ai/events/65364-study-climate-effects-on-ag-yields-vary-by-location-crop.md) | +0.7% | +1.4% |
| CORN | 2023-11-28 | [Global Seasonal Climate Update for July-August-September 2024](https://feedsoft.ai/events/33096-global-seasonal-climate-update-for-july-august-september-2024.md) | +2.2% | +4.6% |
| CORN | 2023-02-10 | [Climatologist to Crop Insurers: Corn Yields up, But Likely to go Down](https://feedsoft.ai/events/13300-climatologist-to-crop-insurers-corn-yields-up-but-likely-to-go-down.md) | -0.6% | -6.0% |
| SOY | 2018-07-27 | [Look South, ENSO Forecasters! \| NOAA Climate.gov](https://feedsoft.ai/events/63937-look-south-enso-forecasters-noaa-climate-gov.md) | +2.5% | -2.2% |
| SOY | 2019-12-12 | [December 2019 ENSO update: neutral, rinse, repeat \| NOAA Climate.gov](https://feedsoft.ai/events/55496-december-2019-enso-update-neutral-rinse-repeat-noaa-climate-gov.md) | +3.9% | +4.6% |
| SOY | 2018-04-03 | [Study: Climate effects on ag yields vary by location, crop](https://feedsoft.ai/events/65364-study-climate-effects-on-ag-yields-vary-by-location-crop.md) | +1.1% | +0.2% |

## Sources

- climate.gov: https://www.climate.gov/news-features/blogs/enso/enso-climate-conductor-global-crop-yields

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.