# In October, the USDA reduced its grain crop and export forecasts for the Black Sea region 19.10.2021 - UkrAgroConsult

> The USDA's October report cut its Black Sea grain forecasts. Ukraine's corn crop was lowered 1 MMT to 38 MMT on weak harvest yields, and Russia's corn and barley estimates were also reduced. Kazakhstan's wheat crop was trimmed 0.5 MMT, leaving the regional grain crop 1.3% lower at 201.9 MMT.

- Date: 2021-10-19 · published 2021-10-19T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: report · region Black Sea · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/44402-in-october-the-usda-reduced-its-grain-crop-and-export-forecasts-for-the-black
- Commodities: [Corn](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CORN.md), [Barley](https://feedsoft.ai/c/BARLEY.md), [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md)

## Why it matters

Smaller Black Sea corn and barley supplies tighten export availability for feed buyers and support prices for these grains. The lower wheat estimate adds modest upward pressure.

## Read by commodity

- CORN: bullish ▲
- WHEAT: bullish ▲
- BARLEY: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| CORN | 2025-07-02 | [In the 2024/25 MY, Ukraine reduced grain exports by 25%, the EU by 31%, the Russian Federation by 50%](https://feedsoft.ai/events/14192-in-the-2024-25-my-ukraine-reduced-grain-exports-by-25-the-eu-by-31-the-russian.md) | -3.1% | -4.1% |
| CORN | 2024-04-16 | [USDA revises corn and sorghum forecasts for 2023/24 \| Feed & Grain](https://feedsoft.ai/events/30811-usda-revises-corn-and-sorghum-forecasts-for-2023-24-feed-and-grain.md) | -0.3% | +3.3% |
| CORN | 2024-10-17 | [USDA forecasts rise in corn and sorghum exports amid global shortages \| Feed & Grain](https://feedsoft.ai/events/27919-usda-forecasts-rise-in-corn-and-sorghum-exports-amid-global-shortages-feed-and.md) | +2.1% | +2.9% |
| CORN | 2018-02-23 | [USDA sees mixed crop forecasts in 2018 \| World-grain.com \| February 23, 2018 15:54 \| World Grain](https://feedsoft.ai/events/66354-usda-sees-mixed-crop-forecasts-in-2018-world-grain-com-february-23-2018-15-54.md) | +1.9% | +2.9% |
| CORN | 2024-12-10 | [USDA forecasts lower US wheat stocks, raises corn exports in latest WASDE report \| Feed & Grain](https://feedsoft.ai/events/26902-usda-forecasts-lower-us-wheat-stocks-raises-corn-exports-in-latest-wasde-report.md) | +1.6% | +2.9% |
| WHEAT | 2022-08-30 | [StatCan experts have increased their forecasts for the harvest of grain and oil crops in Canada 30.08.2022 - UkrAgroConsult](https://feedsoft.ai/events/40004-statcan-experts-have-increased-their-forecasts-for-the-harvest-of-grain-and-oil.md) | -2.3% | +2.6% |
| WHEAT | 2021-07-13 | [Black Sea Region: USDA estimates gradually nearing market ones - UkrAgroConsult](https://feedsoft.ai/events/45910-black-sea-region-usda-estimates-gradually-nearing-market-ones-ukragroconsult.md) | +1.3% | -0.4% |
| WHEAT | 2024-01-25 | [Australia’s grain production and export outlook \| UkrAgroConsult](https://feedsoft.ai/events/32090-australia-s-grain-production-and-export-outlook-ukragroconsult.md) | -0.4% | -5.2% |

## Sources

- ukragroconsult.com: https://ukragroconsult.com/en/news/in-october-the-usda-reduced-its-grain-crop-and-export-forecasts-for-the-black-sea-region/

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.