# Higher cow slaughter and carcass weights raise 2021 beef production forecast - Progressive Cattle | Ag Proud

> USDA ERS raises its 2021 beef production forecast, citing heavier cattle carcass weights and cow slaughter running about 6% to 7% above 2020 levels. Weaker dairy margins and drought concerns are driving the higher cow culling.

- Date: 2021-11-24 · published 2021-11-24T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: report · region US · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/44002-higher-cow-slaughter-and-carcass-weights-raise-2021-beef-production-forecast
- Commodities: [Live Cattle](https://feedsoft.ai/c/LCATTLE.md)

## Why it matters

Heavier carcasses and extra cow slaughter add beef supply, which is bearish for cattle prices in the near term.

## Read by commodity

- LCATTLE: bearish ▼

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| LCATTLE | 2021-12-24 | [Beef production up on expected heavier dressed weights and higher fed cattle slaughter - Progressive Cattle \| Ag Proud](https://feedsoft.ai/events/43547-beef-production-up-on-expected-heavier-dressed-weights-and-higher-fed-cattle.md) | +0.1% | +0.1% |
| LCATTLE | 2017-02-25 | [2016 beef production bolstered by increased slaughter, higher dressed weights - Progressive Cattle \| Ag Proud](https://feedsoft.ai/events/72625-2016-beef-production-bolstered-by-increased-slaughter-higher-dressed-weights.md) | -1.3% | +3.0% |
| LCATTLE | 2019-05-24 | [Higher expected cow slaughter partly offsets lower weights - Progressive Cattle \| Ag Proud](https://feedsoft.ai/events/5757-higher-expected-cow-slaughter-partly-offsets-lower-weights-progressive-cattle.md) | -1.4% | -3.2% |
| LCATTLE | 2022-04-25 | [Beef production continues to be down in 2022 - Progressive Cattle \| Ag Proud](https://feedsoft.ai/events/41788-beef-production-continues-to-be-down-in-2022-progressive-cattle-ag-proud.md) | +0.5% | -3.4% |
| LCATTLE | 2020-02-25 | [Pace of slaughter stays strong in fourth-quarter 2019 - Progressive Cattle \| Ag Proud](https://feedsoft.ai/events/54547-pace-of-slaughter-stays-strong-in-fourth-quarter-2019-progressive-cattle-ag.md) | -5.0% | -10.7% |

## Sources

- agproud.com: https://www.agproud.com/articles/53386-higher-cow-slaughter-and-carcass-weights-raise-2021-beef-production-forecast

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.