# Winter Outlook 2021-22: La Niña, Take Two? | North Carolina State Climate Office

> The North Carolina State Climate Office outlook says a moderate La Niña is developing for the 2021-22 winter, with sea surface temperatures forecast to peak about 1°C below normal. The office notes that last year's La Niña did not bring the expected warm, dry conditions to North Carolina.

- Date: 2021-11-09 · published 2021-11-09T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: weather · region US · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/43971-winter-outlook-2021-22-la-nina-take-two-north-carolina-state-climate-office
- Commodities: [Corn](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CORN.md), [Soybeans](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SOY.md), [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md), [Palm Oil](https://feedsoft.ai/c/PALMOIL.md)

## Why it matters

A moderate La Niña raises the risk of dryness in South America's crop regions later, but this North Carolina outlook is regional and says little about feed grain supply or prices. Its direct price impact is minimal.

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| CORN | 2018-10-22 | [Another mild winter? NOAA’s 2018-19 winter outlook \| NOAA Climate.gov](https://feedsoft.ai/events/62468-another-mild-winter-noaa-s-2018-19-winter-outlook-noaa-climate-gov.md) | -1.2% | -6.0% |
| CORN | 2021-12-01 | [Winter 2021-22: La Nina Sequel](https://feedsoft.ai/events/43521-winter-2021-22-la-nina-sequel.md) | +8.0% | +4.8% |
| CORN | 2020-06-14 | [Southwest Climate Outlook - El Niño Tracker - June 2020 \| CLIMAS](https://feedsoft.ai/events/52530-southwest-climate-outlook-el-nino-tracker-june-2020-climas.md) | +0.4% | +0.1% |
| CORN | 2020-04-30 | [Southwest Climate Outlook - El Niño Tracker - April 2020 \| CLIMAS](https://feedsoft.ai/events/53555-southwest-climate-outlook-el-nino-tracker-april-2020-climas.md) | +1.9% | +2.3% |
| CORN | 2017-11-17 | [La Nina and New Winter/Spring Outlooks \| Illinois State Climatologist \| Illinois State Water Survey \| Prairie Research Institute](https://feedsoft.ai/events/67915-la-nina-and-new-winter-spring-outlooks-illinois-state-climatologist-illinois.md) | +0.8% | +6.3% |
| SOY | 2018-10-22 | [Another mild winter? NOAA’s 2018-19 winter outlook \| NOAA Climate.gov](https://feedsoft.ai/events/62468-another-mild-winter-noaa-s-2018-19-winter-outlook-noaa-climate-gov.md) | -1.4% | +4.1% |
| SOY | 2021-12-01 | [Winter 2021-22: La Nina Sequel](https://feedsoft.ai/events/43521-winter-2021-22-la-nina-sequel.md) | +2.7% | +11.4% |
| SOY | 2020-06-14 | [Southwest Climate Outlook - El Niño Tracker - June 2020 \| CLIMAS](https://feedsoft.ai/events/52530-southwest-climate-outlook-el-nino-tracker-june-2020-climas.md) | +0.6% | +0.6% |

## Sources

- climate.ncsu.edu: https://climate.ncsu.edu/blog/2021/11/winter-outlook-2021-22-la-nina-take-two/

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.