# Geopolitical, Trade Disputes Darken Phosphorus Outlook in 2022

> DTN reports that 2021 phosphorus supply was limited by US countervailing duties on Moroccan and Russian phosphate, and by China's decision not to export phosphate until at least June 2022. China accounts for about 30% of global phosphate trade. Demand is expected to rise in 2022.

- Date: 2022-01-01 · published 2022-01-01T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: trade · region Global · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/43948-geopolitical-trade-disputes-darken-phosphorus-outlook-in-2022
- Commodities: [DAP](https://feedsoft.ai/c/DAP.md), [Phosphate Rock](https://feedsoft.ai/c/PHOSROCK.md)

## Why it matters

With China's exports halted and demand growing, tight phosphate supply is likely to keep DAP and rock prices elevated, raising fertilizer costs for grain and oilseed production that feeds into feed prices.

## Read by commodity

- DAP: bullish ▲
- PHOSROCK: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| DAP | 2025-02-12 | [Phosphate Market Update: February 2025 - Eastern General Trade Co.](https://feedsoft.ai/events/26353-phosphate-market-update-february-2025-eastern-general-trade-co.md) | +0.4% | +2.7% |
| DAP | 2021-01-28 | [Price hike in MAP and DAP as global supply squeezed by trade disputes \| The Land \| NSW](https://feedsoft.ai/events/4058-price-hike-in-map-and-dap-as-global-supply-squeezed-by-trade-disputes-the-land.md) | +31.4% | +28.0% |
| DAP | 2025-07-15 | [DAP Price in July 2025: Prices Climb, Competition Intensifies - Eastern General Trade Co.](https://feedsoft.ai/events/5401-dap-price-in-july-2025-prices-climb-competition-intensifies-eastern-general.md) | +2.1% | +10.3% |
| DAP | 2021-03-11 | [Phosphate fertilizers \| United States International Trade Commission](https://feedsoft.ai/events/48048-phosphate-fertilizers-united-states-international-trade-commission.md) | -0.6% | +1.1% |
| DAP | 2019-09-10 | [Mosaic to idle Louisiana phosphates operations to cut 2019 output](https://feedsoft.ai/events/57399-mosaic-to-idle-louisiana-phosphates-operations-to-cut-2019-output.md) | +0.6% | +1.2% |

## Sources

- dtnpf.com: https://www.dtnpf.com/agriculture/web/ag/news/crops/article/2021/12/15/geopolitical-trade-disputes-darken

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.