# A Narrow Export Window Possible for U.S. Soybeans | Red River Farm Network

> NDSU analyst Frayne Olson warns that early South American soybean harvests may narrow the export window for U.S. soybeans to China. Local basis in the Dakotas and Minnesota remains strong due to a short crop from drought and demand from the Pacific Northwest.

- Date: 2021-12-28 · published 2021-12-28T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: trade · region US · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/43633-a-narrow-export-window-possible-for-u-s-soybeans-red-river-farm-network
- Commodities: [Soybeans](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SOY.md), [Corn](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CORN.md)

## Why it matters

An earlier South American supply advantage could pressure U.S. export demand and price, while strong regional basis currently supports local cash bids.

## Read by commodity

- SOY: bearish ▼
- CORN: neutral

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| SOY | 2018-05-02 | [Pulling the Trigger on Soybean Prices \| Red River Farm Network](https://feedsoft.ai/events/4610-pulling-the-trigger-on-soybean-prices-red-river-farm-network.md) | -3.0% | -1.9% |
| SOY | 2018-07-12 | [COFCO: China Will Look to the World for Other Protein Souces \| Red River Farm Network](https://feedsoft.ai/events/64150-cofco-china-will-look-to-the-world-for-other-protein-souces-red-river-farm.md) | +1.5% | +7.7% |
| SOY | 2026-10-29 | [Fed Holds Rates Steady as Soybeans Break Support and Russian Grain Exports Expand \| American Ag Network](https://feedsoft.ai/events/76-fed-holds-rates-steady-as-soybeans-break-support-and-russian-grain-exports.md) | -1.5% | — |
| SOY | 2018-08-08 | [Canola Farmers Feel Tariff Impact \| Red River Farm Network](https://feedsoft.ai/events/63516-canola-farmers-feel-tariff-impact-red-river-farm-network.md) | -2.8% | -7.2% |
| SOY | 2018-02-14 | [Corn export projection better, soybeans worse - Brownfield Ag News](https://feedsoft.ai/events/66523-corn-export-projection-better-soybeans-worse-brownfield-ag-news.md) | +2.2% | +1.7% |
| CORN | 2021-01-09 | [Ethanol and DDG Exports Decline, But Above Year-Ago Levels \| Red River Farm Network](https://feedsoft.ai/events/49158-ethanol-and-ddg-exports-decline-but-above-year-ago-levels-red-river-farm-network.md) | +6.3% | +12.8% |
| CORN | 2017-05-16 | [Soybeans up on new export sale - Brownfield Ag News](https://feedsoft.ai/events/71066-soybeans-up-on-new-export-sale-brownfield-ag-news.md) | +1.9% | +2.0% |
| CORN | 2024-04-17 | [Tai Promotes Biden Administration’s Trade Agenda \| Red River Farm Network](https://feedsoft.ai/events/30727-tai-promotes-biden-administration-s-trade-agenda-red-river-farm-network.md) | +0.2% | +2.7% |

## Sources

- rrfn.com: https://www.rrfn.com/2021/12/28/a-narrow-export-window-possible-for-u-s-soybeans/

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.